> Subject: Re: [gatornews] Wall Street Journal: Hoops Nerd picks the Florida > Gators > > I agree with Pat Dooley who said UF could suffer an early exit or will go all > the way. I guess that goes along with the 21% chance kenpom.com is giving us. > So, if we beat NW Louisiana... All the way, Baby! > > Oliver Barry, CRS, GRI > Real Estate Broker > Bob Parks, LLC > 1517 Hunt Club Blvd > Gallatin TN 37066 > 615-972-4239 > 615-826-4040 > Sent from my iPhone > > On Mar 20, 2013, at 8:55 AM, Helen Huntley <[email protected]> wrote: > >> >> he best way to profit off your NCAA tournament bracket is not, in fact, >> picking a bunch of round-of-64 upsets and then buying a round at the bar >> when one just so happens to hit. It's to nail the national champion. >> >> The unexpected darling of tempo-free statisticians this year is Florida, the >> No. 3 seed in the South Region. A formula published on kenpom.com, the >> closest thing to a Bible for hoops nerds, gives the Gators a 21% chance of >> winning the tournament, the best of any team. (We should mention that basic >> arithmetic implies that Florida would lose 79% of the time, too.) Also going >> with the Gators is John Ezekowitz, the Harvard senior whose round-of-64 >> upsets were published Tuesday. His system for forecasting the entire bracket >> uses survival analysis, a method for predicting failure in systems, and >> gives Florida a 15.7% chance of winning the whole thing, also the best of >> any team. >> >> In WSJ's Blindfold Bracket competition, which allows users to select teams >> without knowing their true identities, 40% of participants have ended up >> with Indiana as the national champion. But the unbiased approach also likes >> Florida, the second-most popular pick at 12%. >> >> —Ben Cohen >> >> -- >> Helen Huntley >> (727) 823-3801 >> www.helenhuntley.com >> -- >> -- >> GATORS: ONE VOICE ON SATURDAY - NO VOICE ON SUNDAY! >> 1996 National Football Champions | 2006 National Basketball Champions >> 2006 National Football Champions | 2007 National Basketball Champions >> 2008 National Football Champions | >> Three Heisman Trophy winners: Steve Spurrier (1966), Danny Wuerffel (1996), >> Tim Tebow (2007) - Visit our website at www.gatornet.us >> --- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "GatorNews" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to [email protected]. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >> >>
-- -- GATORS: ONE VOICE ON SATURDAY - NO VOICE ON SUNDAY! 1996 National Football Champions | 2006 National Basketball Champions 2006 National Football Champions | 2007 National Basketball Champions 2008 National Football Champions | Three Heisman Trophy winners: Steve Spurrier (1966), Danny Wuerffel (1996), Tim Tebow (2007) - Visit our website at www.gatornet.us --- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "GatorTalk" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.
