> On Feb 11, 2016, at 10:42 AM, JunoGator <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Last year wasn’t much better for McElwain, who was hired just two months 
> before signing day 2015. The Gators signed five of the state’s top 50 
> recruits in 2015 compared to Florida State’s 10 and Miami’s three.

I think that it is important to consider the IMG effect.

IMG is a recent sports-centered prep school. Typical students are elite 
football prospects that need a 5th year of high school to achieve eligibility, 
or top athletes locked into a local public high school that may not have the 
top-level coaching that they feel they need to become big time Div 1 prospects 
and - hopefully - NFL players.

It literally is an all-star roster, and 15-20 of Florida’s elite 50 in the last 
few years have all been from IMG Academy.

UF has never signed an IMG player.

However, by and large, those players are not really Florida students. They have 
come from all over the country. If a student from Ohio, who has been recruited 
by the Buckeyes his entire life, spends one year at IMG and then signs with 
OSU, it is not truly as if Urban came into Florida and stole an in-state 
recruit.

The other wrinkle is that IMG’s first coach was Chris Weinke. What talent 
existed that lacked long term ties was steered to FSU. Although he was not the 
coach this year, the anti-UF effect is still present. 

To be meaningful, this data should exclude IMG students. I suspect that UF will 
have grabbed about the same non-IMG Florida top-50 as the other top schools.

What I am not seeing as much as I though I would is the Shannon effect. I 
expected top-tier defensive talent to flock to play linebacker for us with him 
as their position coach, and in-roads into Dade and Broward at other position. 
UM’s coaching change was a golden opportunity (pun intended) for Shannon to 
clean up in the region, I didn’t see much of an effect.

-Zeb

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GATORS: ONE VOICE ON SATURDAY - NO VOICE ON SUNDAY!
1996 National Football Champions   |  2006 National Basketball Champions 2006 
National Football Champions   |   2007 National Basketball Champions 2008 
National Football Champions   |   Three Heisman Trophy winners: Steve Spurrier 
(1966), Danny Wuerffel (1996), Tim Tebow (2007)
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