Yes.  There are people who are freaking out waaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy too much
about recruiting and not taking everything into context.  Including some
podcasters.

On Fri, Jul 13, 2018 at 9:01 AM, Oliver Barry <bar...@realtracs.com> wrote:

> I read this yesterday and it makes sense. Mullen is shifting the offense
> from pro style to spread. So, he needs spread players. That’s why we ended
> up with Emory Jones instead of Matt Corral.
> These players who are dumping us for other teams were not on our radar
> before Mullen.
> The article goes on to say Mullen needs time, win some games, and prove to
> recruits he can win.
> If he could win at Mississippi State he can win anywhere.
>
> Oliver Barry CRS, GRI
> Real Estate Broker
> PARKS Real Estate Services
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>
> Begin forwarded message:
>
> *From:* Woody Bass <gatorrr...@gmail.com>
> *Date:* July 13, 2018 at 7:18:16 AM CDT
> *To:* gatorn...@googlegroups.com
> *Subject:* *[gatornews] REQUIRED READING!!  A closer look at Florida's
> slow recruiting start, and why it's complicated*
> *Reply-To:* gatornews+own...@googlegroups.com
>
> This is a must read and you must pass it along to other Gators to read.
> Then close your eyes. Have a drink or 10. Then breathe again.  Relaaaxxxx
>
> https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/florida-football/a-closer-
> look-at-floridas-slow-recruiting-start-and-why-its-
> complicated/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
>
> A closer look at Florida’s slow recruiting start, and why it’s complicated
> 22 hours ago
>
> Dan Mullen hasn’t even taken the podium at his first SEC Media Days as
> Florida’s head coach, let alone coached his first game, and already there
> is noise in the system in Gainesville.
>
> Fans and writers alike
> <https://www.readandreaction.com/2018/06/24/recruiting-revisit-is-panic-or-patience-needed-for-the-2019-recruiting-class/>
> are on edge about Florida’s sluggish start to the 2018-2019 recruiting
> cycle, with many already moving past “on edge” and into full-on “panic
> mode.” Rival fans have taken to calling Florida “3-Star U,” with one
> notable podcaster comparing the notoriously poor recruiter Jim McElwain
> favorably to the affable, engaging Mullen.
>
> There were rumblings from as early as the spring, when Florida hosted
> several big names without securing commitments or future official visits.
> The rumblings became louder in late June, when longtime Mullen 4-star DE
> target Nathan Pickering opted to commit to the in-state Mississippi State
> Bulldogs instead of the Gators, despite a lengthy recruiting relationship
> with the Florida coaching staff.
>
> The rumbles turned to roars last week, when a pair of consensus 4-stars
> long considered Florida leans — Jahleel Billingsley (Alabama) and DB Chris
> Steele (USC) — committed elsewhere. The Gators also lost former 4-star WR
> commit John Dunmore, the Hollywood (Fla.) Chaminade product, who committed
> to Penn State. Another 4-star WR, Mycah Pittman, appears set to buck his
> mother’s wishes and pick Oregon over Florida.
>
> There’s no question that’s a tough few weeks for the Gators, who
> currently sit at No. 31 in the 247Sports Composite Team Rankings for 2019
> (behind Duke!)
> <https://247sports.com/Season/2019-Football/CompositeTeamRankings>. But
> is it a cause for panic? And what exactly is behind Florida’s slow
> recruiting start?
>
> Fan is short for “fanatic,” and reason and facts aren’t often considered
> when it’s easier to just pile on the panic bandwagon and criticize the new
> Florida coaching staff, who are tasked with rebuilding a program that for
> the second time in less than a decade has a broken culture to go along with
> personnel issues.
>
> But even fanatics aren’t entitled to their own facts, and the facts of
> Florida recruiting are these.
>
> First, it isn’t all doom-and-gloom.
>
> Mullen signed the best transition class in Florida history last fall,
> rescuing a class ranked in the 20s with a host of signing day commitments,
> including coveted 4-star QB Emory Jones, who chose Florida over rival
> Florida State, and 4-star WR Jacob Copeland, who ended years of Gator
> recruiting futility in Pensacola by picking Florida over Alabama.
>
> Mullen’s 2019 class, with 4 top 300 players currently committed, also
> rates comparably, at this point in the cycle (early July), to Gus Malzahn’s
> second class at Auburn (4 top 300 commits), Mark Richt’s second class at
> Miami (4 top 300 commits), and Willie Taggart’s second class at Florida
> State (5 top 300 commits). It is also twice as good, as of July 11, as Jim
> McElwain’s second class was at this point (2 top 300 commits), which seems
> to suggest that at the very least, Mullen isn’t making McElwain look like
> “Bear Bryant on the trail.” And while Mullen’s second class certainly
> behind Urban Meyer’s second class at Florida as of July (10 top 300
> commits), it isn’t terribly behind Kirby Smart’s pace (6 top 300 commits),
> although it is entirely fair to suggest that Florida needs a quality *Friday
> Night Lights *event this July to bolster the class, stem the negative
> flow of publicity and build momentum for the fall.
>
> Further, while the losses of players like Steele, Pittman and Dunmore seem
> permanent, Pickering and Billingsley are among the players who have openly
> indicated they’ll take recruiting visits, giving Florida at least a chance
> at recouping those losses. And even with Dunmore gone, there are a host of
> analysts projecting 4-star WR Elijah Higgins, a 6-2 221-pound NFL
> prototype, will commit to Florida before the end of the month.
>
> Second, Mullen is also dealing with a host of structural challenges his
> rivals simply don’t face.
>
> To begin with, he inherited a program that has had two 4-win seasons in
> four years, and hasn’t fielded an offense ranked in the top 50 nationally
> since most recruits were in elementary school.
> <http://www.gatorcountry.com/feature/recruiting-analysis-dan-mullens-first-eight-months/>
> The Gators stitched together two 10-win seasons this decade, but did so on
> the shoulders of elite defenses, and even in the seasons when Will Muschamp
> recruited well, Florida’s classes tended to be unbalanced, with a
> high-number of blue chips (4- or 5-stars) on defense, not offense.
> "Maybe it’s a longer rebuild, like Clemson. But Dan will get it built, if
> they let him.”
> -- Power 5 assistant coach on Dan Mullen's recruiting ability
>
> Florida’s roster contains 36 blue-chip recruits, only 3 of whom were
> consensus 5-star players. That’s more blue-chips than at SEC East rivals
> South Carolina (23) and Tennessee (34), but it’s well-behind Georgia (61)
> and FSU (56). Much of that is due to unbalanced classes under Muschamp and
> the general aloofness of McElwain, who deferred much of Florida’s
> recruiting process to associate head coach Randy Shannon. But some of it is
> about success on the field too, according to one longtime SEC assistant.
>
> “Kirby inherited a 10-win roster at Georgia, and schematically, they
> didn’t want to reinvent much offensively, which people forget,” the SEC
> assistant told me. “That meant Kirby could go and target certain areas
> where he felt upgrades were critical, notably on the offensive line and on
> the defensive perimeter. But Smart also knew Richt already had a roster
> that was close. It’s why he waited on that job. Dan gets a 4-win culture
> and probably an 8-win roster. Those challenges are almost entirely
> different, and that’s before you discuss scheme.”
>
> Another challenge Florida faces is consistent coaching turnover, which
> impacts recruiting in two ways.
>
> The first is the obvious one. It’s hard to play catchup against other
> staffs when they’ve cultivated longstanding relationships with kids. The
> usual rebuttal to this is that “other staffs in transition manage to do
> it.” But another longtime Power 5 assistant says it’s more complicated than
> that.
>
> “At Florida, you want to recruit against everybody. You go into a living
> room and sell Florida, but you’re doing it in a place where Dabo (Swinney)
> has been, where (Nick) Saban has been, where Kirby Smart is or Clay
> Helton,” the Power 5 assistant told me last week. “That’s fine, but then
> even if you catch up relationship-wise, you’re behind culturally, you
> aren’t winning. So, the most interested kids may make you wait.”
>
> The second challenge of consistent turnover is the more fascinating one,
> and far less talked about. Not all staffs want to recruit the same kids,
> especially when there is dramatic scheme change, which there certainly is
> at Florida as it moves away not just from McElwain’s pro-style offense to
> Mullen’s run-dominant spread, but also from Shannon’s vanilla 4-3 to Todd
> Grantham’s Pittsburgh 3-4.
>
> That poses significant recruiting challenges that are compounded by the
> relationship issue, according to Florida-based national recruiting analyst
> Corey Long, who for over a decade has covered college football and
> recruiting for the New York Times, ESPN and Saturday Down South, among
> other publications.
>
> “Mullen and this coaching staff have a plan and they are going after the
> players they are comfortable with and feel like they fit into the scheme
> and the culture,” Long told me last week.  “Maybe they will look to fill
> the ‘top end’ of the class during the season and get some bigger names in
> before the first signing day, but for now, it’s about crafting their target
> list.”
>
> Long is sympathetic to the criticism among some writers and fans alike,
> however, that Florida doesn’t seem to have a specific recruiting strategy
> established yet under Mullen. He says a good amount of that has to do with
> turnover.
>
> “I think the problem with four coaches in just over eight years is they
> have four different players (they have targeted),” Long said.  “Gator
> football was different under McElwain than it was under Muschamp and will
> be different under Mullen. McElwain’s staff, headed by Randy Shannon, was
> very active in South Florida whereas Mullen’s staff doesn’t seem to be
> recruiting as much there. So where will their in-state focus be? Tampa?
> Orlando? Jacksonville? The Panhandle? What about out of state? Are they
> strong in Georgia or better along the Gulf Coast and Mississippi JUCOs?
> They need to figure out where they can establish significant inroads at and
> start aggressively recruiting in those areas.”
>
> Long’s point here is supported by the reality that Florida is one of only
> 8 Power 5 programs that have had four head coaches since 2010. The others?
> Pitt, Minnesota, Illinois, Kansas, Oregon, USC and Arkansas. Of those nine
> programs, only Florida, USC and Oregon are considered bluebloods, and both
> Oregon and USC hired their fourth coach (Cristobal and Helton,
> respectively) from within their prior staff. Of the nine, Pitt made the
> largest recruiting improvement from a transition class to second class,
> when Pat Narduzzi improved Pitt from 46th to 30th in 2016. The difference?
> Pitt won 8 football games under Narduzzi after a losing season under Paul
> Chryst.
>
> Winning matters, according to the Power 5 assistant.
>
> “Helton and (Mario) Cristobal already had ideas as to who they wanted to
> recruit, and an offer list they didn’t need to reshape. That allowed for
> immediate momentum. Helton had to win more games, but USC was never in a
> situation like Florida where they had multiple losing seasons. Mario is at
> a program that has been to a College Football Playoff Championship. He and
> (Willie Taggart) made the offer list. Mullen’s situation is a lot more like
> Dabo’s was at Clemson, even though Dabo came from (Tommy) Bowden’s staff.
> Dabo had a different idea about how he wanted Clemson to play football.
> Clemson hadn’t won a conference title in forever. They had to win. It took
> awhile to sell that to kids.”
>
> Long is less sure.
>
> “In the era of the Early Signing Day period, there’s not really
> wait-and-see,” Long said. “I just think there’s too much turnover and
> coaching changes in the past few years to establish a consistent pattern of
> recruiting. The target list in the 2019, 2020 and 2021 classes changed with
> the coaching change, so there are kids that the Shannon-led group of
> assistants were targeting over the next three years that Mullen’s staff has
> decided not to pursue and in turn they have a whole new group of targets,
> some brought over from their evaluations while at Mississippi State. That
> and the schematic changes just means they start from behind.”
>
> Still, it’s Florida, the Power 5 assistant told me. Kids will respond if
> Florida plays better football.
>
> “I don’t know if it happens in *this *class,” the assistant said. “But
> the way they are upgrading things, the whole package of tradition and
> facilities and the NFL pipeline and academics: maybe it’s a longer rebuild,
> like Clemson. But Dan will get it built, if they let him.”
>
>
>
>
> Woody
>
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(1966), Danny Wuerffel (1996), Tim Tebow (2007)
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