[image: Profile photo for Dima Vorobiev]
<https://www.quora.com/profile/Dima-Vorobiev>
Dima Vorobiev
<https://www.quora.com/profile/Dima-Vorobiev>
Former Propaganda Executive at Russia3y
<https://www.quora.com/Can-the-Russian-Communist-win-the-2024-elections-in-Russia-if-Putin-isnt-a-candidate/answer/Dima-Vorobiev>
Can the Russian Communist win the 2024 elections in Russia if Putin isn't a
candidate?
<https://www.quora.com/Can-the-Russian-Communist-win-the-2024-elections-in-Russia-if-Putin-isnt-a-candidate>

Yes.

If President Putin magically disappears during the next 5.5 years—which I
hope he doesn’t—the Communists will likely be the front-runners for the
President’s job in 2024. This would be the result of two things of very
high probability

   - The ruling party United Russia will immediately crumble along the
   national and local clan loyalties. This party has no ideology and exists
   solely as a political vehicle of Putin’s support among the state
   bureaucracy and associated wannabes.
   - In the chaos of mutual vendettas between oligarchical clans, Chechens
   will resurface as one of the most powerful forces, with the safe home base
   outside the Russian law in Grozny, and the solid ethnic network and
   business interests across the country. A major flare-up between them and
   the military/FSB seems unavoidable. Radical nationalists will get a
   powerful cause for rallying. “Russia for Russians!” will surge as a
   no-brainer slogan for anyone who wants to stake the claim for the Kremlin.

The Communist Party of the Russian Federation is a populist party that
hides its nationalism under Stalinist rhetorics. It also has the best local
foothold among the “opposition” parties across Russia and a faithful core
of nostalgic voters among senior Russians. If you are an oligarch and want
to pick a winner in the coming game, the КПРФ
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communist_Party_of_the_Russian_Federation> would
certainly be the first option you’ll consider.

Their Communist colors fool no one. Their last presidential candidate was a
billionaire—no one found anything strange about that. And in Russia, if you
nail a backing from a few key players, and are willing to pour a lot of
money in them, you have a very good chance on turning around the entire
game.

Below, a Communist rally in Moscow. The strong stable political base of
Stalinists attracts a lot of younger outsiders with political ambitions who
don’t want to venture out in the anti-Putinist domain, but hope to make
good use of any crack in the wall.
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