http://www.forbes.com/sites/timdaiss/2016/10/23/we-are-doomed-to-bankruptcy-unless-changes-made-says-saudi-official/#7525776e4471

Oct 23, 2016 @ 03:38 AM 87,631 views The Little Black Book of Billionaire 
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'We're Doomed For Bankruptcy' Unless Changes Made, Says Saudi Official



Tim Daiss ,  

Contributor

Oil markets analyst, journalist and author based in Southeast Asia 

Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own.


 
Saudi Minister of Finance Ibrahim al-Assaf addressed the audience during the 
Euromoney Saudi Arabia conference in the capital Riyadh on May 3, 2016. On 
Wednesday, he said  that oil prices will not return as in the past, stressing 
that energy sources have changed and their must be new procedures. (Photo FAYEZ 
NURELDINE/AFP/Getty Images)

It’s common knowledge for anybody that follows international news that the more 
than two-year-long crash in global oil markets has caused pain across the 
sector, with little immunity offered.

Oil majors have lost billions, with over 350,000 layoffs in the sector 
globally, while oil-producing nations, ranging from U.S. shale oil producers, 
to OPEC members, to the world’s largest oil producer Russia, have felt the pain.

Saudi Arabia, once thought immune to any prolonged downturn in oil prices, has 
also felt the pinch as prices have trended downward from $115 per barrel in 
mid-2014 to a low in the $20s-range in January, followed by a rebound to the 
high $40s to low $50s range.

The kingdom ran a record high budget deficit of $98 billion last year with an 
estimated $87 billion deficit forecasted for this year. Low oil prices have hit 
Riyadh’s state coffers so hard that it made it first international bond sale 
last week, worth $17.5 billion, to bring in much needed cash.

In order to rein in expenses, the government has done what was once thought 
unthinkable – cutting costs and expenditures. At the beginning of the year, 
Saudi state media reported that the Finance Ministry would cut spending, adopt 
new taxes and reduce price subsidies for fuel, water and power.

Recommended by Forbes
End of the best of times

A January report in Al-Monitor said that gas price hikes and subsidy cuts had 
shaken Saudi citizens. In May, Saudi Arabia announced that it was trying to 
wean its economy off of oil, stating that more shake ups were coming – in an 
effort to let its citizens know that the best of times, were in effect, over.

The government also announced new leadership at some of Saudi Arabia’s most 
important institutions, including the powerful oil ministry and the central 
bank. A half-dozen other ministries and commissions were reformulated, 
eliminated or saw new heads appointed in an effort to improve government 
responsiveness and efficiency, The Wall Street Journal said.

Moreover, in September top Saudi officials had their salaries cut by at least 
20%, and their car and phone allowances sequestered. Ordinary workers lost 11 
days’ pay when the government moved to the Gregorian calendar. Annual leave has 
been capped at 30 days.

  a.. “The amount worked [among Saudi state employees] doesn’t even exceed an 
hour [per day] – and that’s based on studies,” said Civil Service Minister 
Khaled Alaraj
In the meantime, however, and surprising given the economic fallout in the 
country, it seems that many Saudi government employees haven’t received the 
government’s belt tightening memo.

“The amount worked [among Saudi state employees] doesn’t even exceed an hour 
[per day] – and that’s based on studies,” said Civil Service Minister Khaled 
Alaraj this past week.  He made his remarks during an official discussion of 
Saudi Arabia’s economy broadcast at prime time on Wednesday night.

His remarks are even more poignant given that over than two-thirds of all 
working Saudis are employed by the government. Last year, according to several 
reports, Saudi Arabia spent about 45% of its budget to pay government employee 
wages.

“If we didn’t take any reform measures, and if the global economy stays the 
same, then we’re doomed for bankruptcy in three to four years,” said Mohamed Al 
Tuwaijri, the Saudi deputy economy minister, at the same meeting.

Adding another layer to the already dismal disclosure, Saudi Finance Minister 
Ibrahim AlAssaf said that oil prices will not return as in the past, stressing 
that energy sources have changed and there must be new procedures.

One of those new procedures should be for Saudi Arabia to put its state coffers 
ahead of its fever pitched attempt to protect oil market share at all costs, 
casting aside its bitter rivalry with fellow OPEC member Iran and also non-OPEC 
member Russia, and agree to a real and substantial oil production cut. Anything 
less will be just more meaningless rhetoric.

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