The truth about President Trump's $110 billion Saudi arabia

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During his first visit to a foreign nation as president, President Trump
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/donald-trump.htm> announced a massive
deal: $110 billion in arms sales to Saudi Arabia. He called the agreement
"tremendous" and bragged about the billions of dollars in investments and
jobs that would be brought to the United States as a result.

But the reality is that the U.S. is no where close to receiving that kind
of money, at least right now. ABC News found only approximately $25 billion
of the $110 billion in the actual pipeline, and future sales are not
guaranteed.

"The $110 billion deal that the president announced doesn't really exist,"
said Bruce Riedel, director of the Brookings Intelligence Project and a
former CIA officer
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/us/central-intelligence-agency.htm>, who
noted the discrepancy in Trump's announcement in an article Monday for
Brookings, which first shed light on this aspect of the deal.
<https://www.brookings.edu/blog/markaz/2017/06/05/the-110-billion-arms-deal-to-saudi-arabia-is-fake-news/>

In his article, Riedel wrote, "Instead, there are a bunch of letters of
interest or intent, but not contracts. Many are offers that the defense
industry thinks the Saudis will be interested in someday."

Riedel described it to ABC News as a "wish list" of what the U.S. would
like to sell Saudi Arabia in the next four to five years. But he warns that
these intended sales are not contracts, and that the Saudis may be unable
to pay.

Declining oil prices
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/business/energy/oil-prices.htm> and an
expensive air campaign over Yemen means the Saudis are no longer flush with
cash, Riedel told ABC News.

Trump signs $110 billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia on 'a tremendous day'
<http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-signs-110-billion-arms-deal-saudi-arabia/story?id=47531180>

At the time of Trump's announcement in May, the Pentagon
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/us/the-pentagon.htm> listed six proposed
sales
<http://www.dsca.mil/news-media/news-archive/fact-sheet-intended-sales-saudi-arabia-foreign-military-sales>
to the Saudis that Congress had been officially notified of, required by
law for Foreign Military Sales involving defense equipment.

Congressional Notifications alert Congress to a "proposed" or "potential"
sale and are associated with Letters of Offer and Acceptance (LOA). A LOA
is a letter of interest or intent from another nation to purchase American
military hardware.

In total, the six possible sales are valued at about $23.7 billion. Five of
the six notifications were announced during the Obama administration, some
as far back as 2013.

Since then, three additional Saudi-related Congressional Notifications were
issued in late May and early June. These potential sales involve training
and radar systems sales and total roughly $1.7 billion.

All told, the approximate $25 billion in potential sales is far from
Trump's claim of $110 billion. The other $85 billion would be categorized
as a Memorandum of Intent (MOI), which the Pentagon's Defense Security
Cooperation Agency describes as "potential future defense capabilities" for
the Saudis. Under Trump’s deal, those include "border security and
counterterrorism, maritime and coastal security, air force modernization,
air and missile defense
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/world/missile-interceptors.htm>, and
cybersecurity and communications upgrades."

A U.S. official declined to comment to ABC News on the contents of the MOI,
but a State Department press release
<https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2017/05/270999.htm> shows they include
the Terminal High Altitude Air Defense system (THAAD), the same missile
defense system recently deployed to South Korea, as well as ships,
helicopters, patrol boats, and associated weapons systems.
[image: PHOTO: President Donald Trump holds a bouquet of flowers upon being
welcomed by Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud during his arrival at
the airport in Riyadh on May 20, 2017. (Saudi Royal Palace/AFP/Getty
Images)]

"The arms sale announced between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia is a broad
agreement in principle," Pentagon spokesman Lt. Col. Roger Cabiness told
ABC News. "It comprises multiple individual sales over several years, each
of which must go through a separate procurement process. These steps
include letters of intent, letters of offer, letters of approval, awarding
of contract, and delivery. As the terms of these sales are finalized, we
will notify Congress and make public the specifics of each transaction."

Cabiness added, "We have a strong relationship with Saudi Arabia, and we
look forward to continuing our partnership in promoting regional security."

While one U.S. official categorized Trump's announcement as a “White House
trick,” it’s hardly the first time an administration has touted an
agreement that was never fulfilled.

In 2013, Secretary of State John Kerry
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/us/john-kerry.htm> traveled to Oman
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/news/oman.htm>, where officials signed a
Memorandum of Intent to sell the Omanis a $2.1 billion arms deal, including
the delivery of a THAAD missile defense system. Many parts of that deal,
including THAAD, have still not been completed.

One of the Saudi-related deals does appear to be on track.

A proposal issued under the Obama administration that was folded into
Trump's deal included four frigates that would be a version of the U.S.
Navy's Littoral Combat Ship. Despite the notification reaching Congress in
October 2015, just last month Lockheed Martin
<http://abcnews.go.com/topics/business/companies/lockheed-martin.htm>
announced it would sell Saudi Arabia those four ships for $6 billion, part
of the $25 billion identified as in the pipeline so far.

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