Using the data at the following link I did a little
time series analysis of the monthly archived KBs for the
Programming forum from October 2005 to July 2008 [because
the first and last months both looked as if they were only
partial months I excluded both]. I did the analysis by copy
and pasting the data 33 rows only from the following link
into a new .ijs file and adding a line at the beginning and
at the end as suggested by the excerpt shown below
(beware of line wrap).

http://www.jsoftware.com/pipermail/programming/

******begin exerpted temp file**********
programming =: 0 : 0
July 2008:      [ Thread ] [ Subject ] [ Author ] [ Date ]      [ Gzip'd Text 
27 KB ]
June 2008:      [ Thread ] [ Subject ] [ Author ] [ Date ]      [ Gzip'd Text 
124 KB ]

        [snip]

December 2005:  [ Thread ] [ Subject ] [ Author ] [ Date ]      [ Gzip'd Text 
142 KB ]
November 2005:  [ Thread ] [ Subject ] [ Author ] [ Date ]      [ Gzip'd Text 
86 KB ]
October 2005:   [ Thread ] [ Subject ] [ Author ] [ Date ]      [ Gzip'd Text 
14 KB ]
)
******end exerpted temp file**********

        I then loaded the plot and stats scripts and renamed
the data set as follows.

   load 'plot'
   load 'stats'
   load '/Users/brian/j602-user/temp/13.ijs'
   $programming
2682
   $p =: programming
2682
   $<;._2 p
34

        The following line plots all of the Programming data.

  'xtic 12' plot |. }:}.". @((_5}.(>:@i:&'t')}.]));._2 p

        The following line plots a 12 month centered moving
average of the Programming data for which the first 6 and
last 6 months are elided. Such a CMA is often suggested as a
simple way to eliminate any seasonalities in time series
data.

  'xtic 12' plot -:((12 median \])@}:+(12 median \])@}.)|. }:}.". 
@((_5}.(>:@i:&'t')}.]));._2 p

        This last plot seems to suggest that there was a
step up in message volume about x=7+6 to the present, but
there may have been a slight decline at about x=17+6 . I
have added 6 months to each x value because the centered
moving average eliminated 6 months at both the leading and
trailing ends. So if x=0 corresponds to November 2005, I
figure x=7+6 corresponds to December 2006.

        A similar analysis could presumably be done readily
for the General archive, but I am not sure how informative
any of this is.

--

(B=)
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