http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/can-engineering-the-earth-save-it-from-catastrophe-914549.html?service=Print

Independent.co.uk
Can engineering the earth save it from catastrophe?

By Steve Connor, Science Editor
Monday, 1 September 2008

Fears that the world is not doing enough to cut carbon dioxide
emissions are forcing scientists to "think the unthinkable" by taking
seriously the idea that humans may have to alter the global climate
artificially with mega-engineering projects.

The Royal Society will launch a study later this year aimed at
reviewing the possibility of saving the planet by "geoengineering" the
climate on the grandest scales imaginable.

Geoengineering encompasses schemes such as fertilising the oceans with
iron filings to draw down CO2 from the atmosphere, creating more
reflective clouds, or even pumping vast quantities of sulphate
particles into the air to simulate volcanic eruptions that cut out
sunlight and lower global temperatures.

Until recently geoengineering has been a technology that dare not
speak its name. However, a growing disillusionment with the ability of
governments to reduce CO2 emissions has forced scientists to come up
with a possible last-ditch technological fix to avert global
catastrophe.

"Global emissions of greenhouse gases continue to rise, so there is
inevitably interest in technologies that may be able to provide a
'fix'," said Lord Rees of Ludlow, the president of the Royal Society.

"It's not clear which of these geoengineering technologies might work,
still less what environmental and social impacts they might have, or
whether it could ever be prudent or politically acceptable to adopt
any of them ... None of these technologies will provide a 'get out of
jail free card' and they must not divert attention away from
international efforts to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases."

The Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, published today,
devotes an entire issue to examining ways of altering the climate or
interfering with the carbon cycle in a way that could offset the rise
in greenhouse gases and the consequent increase in temperatures.

Professor Ken Caldeira of Stanford University said it was important to
plan now for the possibility of having to use geoengineering. "Every
year CO2 emissions continue to climb," he said. "Reducing CO2
emissions requires individual sacrifice in the here and now for the
public good of the distant future. If we start soon, we can phase in
climate engineering slowly and cautiously, and back off if something
bad happens. The least risky thing to do is to start testing soon."

Professor Stephen Schneider, a climate scientist at Stanford who has
resisted geoengineering in the past, said: "We are being placed in the
precarious position of choosing the lesser of two evils. Potentially
dangerous, uncontrolled climate change due to greenhouse gases
emissions; or technological fixes involving large-scale geoengineering
projects."

Geoengineering projects

*High Reflection

The eruption of Mt Pinatubo in 1991 pumped enough sunlight-reflecting
sulphates into the upper atmosphere to cool the Earth by 0.5C for up
to two years. It may be possible to inject sulphates into the
stratosphere from aircraft, right, but this would not deal with ocean
acidification caused by rising CO2 and might cause acid rain.

*Low Reflection

A variation would be to pump water vapour into the air to stimulate
cloud formation over the sea, thus raising Earth's albedo (proportion
of light reflected). Seawater could be atomised to produce tiny water
droplets that would form low-level maritime clouds.

*Fertilising the sea

The limiting factor for growing phytoplankton – tiny marine plants –
is the lack of iron salts. Adding iron to "dead" areas of the sea
leads to blooms which absorb CO2. But whether the plants will sink,
taking the carbon out of circulation, or be eaten, returning it
eventually to the atmosphere is not clear.

*Mixing layers

Giant tubes could be built to carry surface water rich in dissolved
CO2 to lower depths where it will be locked under the temperature
gradient that keeps deep water layers from surfacing. Critics fear it
could instead bring carbon locked in the deep ocean to the surface.

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