This in interesting because there appears to be demonstrable loss of
ice, especially shelves, in lower-CO2 conditions at present.

Could differences in solar output, etc., be behind the apparent
differences in ice accumulation/loss?

A

2009/9/14 Greg Rau <[email protected]>:
> Nature advance online publication 13 September 2009 |
> doi:10.1038/nature08447; Received 18 May 2009; Accepted 21 August 2009;
> Published online 13 September 2009
>
> Atmospheric carbon dioxide through the Eocene-Oligocene climate transition
> Paul N. Pearson1, Gavin L. Foster2 & Bridget S. Wade3
> 1.      School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10
> 3YE, UK
>     2.      Bristol Isotope Group, Department of Earth Sciences, University
> of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, UK
> 3.      Department of Geology and Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College
> Station, Texas 77843-3115, USA
> Correspondence to: Paul N. Pearson1 Correspondence and requests for
> materials should be addressed to P.N.P. (Email: [email protected]).
>
> Abstract
> Geological and geochemical evidence1, 2, 3 indicates that the Antarctic ice
> sheet formed during the Eocene-Oligocene transition4, 33.5-34.0 million
> years ago. Modelling studies5, 6 suggest that such ice-sheet formation might
> have been triggered when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels (pCO2 atm) fell
> below a critical threshold of 750 p.p.m.v., but the timing and magnitude of
> pCO2 atm relative to the evolution of the ice sheet has remained unclear.
> Here we use the boron isotope pH proxy7, 8 on exceptionally well-preserved
> carbonate microfossils from a recently discovered geological section in
> Tanzania9, 10 to estimate  pCO2 atm before, during and after the climate
> transition. Our data suggest that a reduction in  pCO2 atm occurred before
> the main phase of ice growth, followed by a sharp recovery to pre-transition
> values and then a more gradual decline. During maximum ice-sheet growth,
> pCO2 atm was between 450 and 1,500 p.p.m.v., with a central estimate of
> 760 p.p.m.v. The ice cap survived the period of  pCO2 atm recovery, although
> possibly with some reduction in its volume, implying (as models predict11) a
> nonlinear response to climate forcing during melting. Overall, our results
> confirm the central role of declining  pCO2 atm in the development of the
> Antarctic ice sheet (in broad agreement with carbon cycle modelling12) and
> help to constrain mechanisms and feedbacks associated with the Earth's
> biggest climate switch of the past 65 Myr.
>
> >
>

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