I believe their NEW calculation was for what would happen if the rate of
emissions growth continued at the high end of SRES or above, as has been
happening this decade (until last year or so). So, this was a quite high CO2
emissions growth rate without any controls, and we should certainly hope
that is not our future. Problem is that with SO2 emissions going down to
reduce air pollution and CO2 emissions headed strongly up, one gets a very
strong radiative forcing that would last a very long time, so there would be
a lot of warm-up.

Mike

On 10/26/09 10:45 AM, "David Schnare" <[email protected]> wrote:

> Real data are much more useful as the basis for discussion of policy
> alternatives than inaccurate and out of date model outputs.  We ARE NOT
> looking at +4 degree temperatures increases. 
>  
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