All:

Preparing for the Asilomar conference, I summed up major points favoring doing aerosol cooling of the Arctic.

Can others suggest further points? Feel free to dispute their importance, too.

Gregory Benford




STEPS TOWARD SAVING OUR ARCTIC

GREGORY BENFORD
Department of Physics & Astronomy
University of California, Irvine

This paper proposes experiments to halt Arctic warming. The advantages of first attacking climate change in the Arctic by reflecting sunlight are several: 1. The Arctic is the most endangered region, warming faster than other areas. 2. The Arctic stratosphere is the lowest, beginning at about 38,000 feet (11.5 km). This places it within range of the most suitable aircraft for spreading aerosols, the in-flight refuelers. The tropical stratosphere is largely beyond range of these aircraft, so experiments there will demand fighter-class aircraft. The US has a large lead in such technologies, and economies of scale. 3. The Arctic Council forms a natural group for managing such experiments. The US has many allies on the Council, and Russian objections can be met there. Eventual cooling targets that allow northwest passage in the summer can be negotiated as well, away from larger international bodies. 4. Experiments can proceed from US territory. We have the best space technologies for diagnostics in the region. No treaties now govern the stratosphere. 5. Arctic experiments done in summer will have minimal effects on lower latitudes, despite some diffusion and convection of aerosols. Rainfall effects in monsoons, etc, will be minimal. Costs of Arctic experiments (~$300 million) are far lower than tropical experiments (~$ several billion).


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