Because the language defines geoengineering in terms of having an effect on biodiversity, it should be noted that volcanic eruptions injecting on the order of 150,000 tons of S into the Overworld Stratosphere (>53,000 ft) occur regularly, about one per year with no effects on biodiversity. As these eruptions have been occurring for thousands of years, including the last 10,000 when humans began impacting biodiversity through land use, it is evident there would be no problem with such manmade experiments up to and potentially exceeding these limits. If ETC or someone else would like to provide proof from the scientific literature that such natural events reduce biodiversity, then they should do so. Similar estimates on the effect on biodiversity from enhanced OIF and artificial cloud brightening can probably be made.

The definition also does not include the use of wave sink devices to transfer heat from the surface of the ocean below the thermocline. There is also no documented proof that reducing the CO2 mixing ratio in the Troposphere would negatively impact biodiversity. In fact, the evidence available is to the contrary. The number of species lost would decrease and not increase. The language also appears to limit geoengineering that might lead to increased biodiversity, in conflict with the stated purposes of the CBD. This is what happens when leftwing human and technology hating environmental groups are given a free hand with public policy decisions. As the COP process itself seems endless and impotent, recommendations from an ancillary body like the CBD are little more than noise.

In reporting on this, media have a responsibility to present the counter arguments I have made above, rather than just parroting the ETC press releases. Otherwise, they are little more than tabloid magpies, crying wolf in order to be heard over the din of the Internet.


----- Original Message ----- From: "Josh Horton" <[email protected]>
To: "Climate Intervention" <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, October 29, 2010 9:22
Subject: [clim] Re: ETC Group news release: Geoengineering Moratorium Agreed at UN Ministerial in Japan


There is more than a little "irrational exuberance" in the ETC Group
press release.  The reality is that the CBD, a well-meaning but
relatively insignificant agreement, is preparing to adopt a
conditional moratorium filled with qualifications and exceptions.
This conditional moratorium will apply to a narrow field of activities
in ways that are hardly clear, and its international legal status is
unsettled (to put it charitably).  News release aside, this does not
add up to a UN ban on geoengineering.

I think it's fair to view this as a normative win for ETC Group and
its allies, but not much else.

Josh Horton
[email protected]
http://geoengineeringpolitics.blogspot.com/



On Oct 29, 1:29 am, Ken Caldeira <[email protected]>
wrote:
Of course, ETC's claim of a "de facto moratorium" is misleading, at best.

The CBD has provided a consistent definition of *geoengineering*. The
language is

*any technologies that deliberately** reduce solar insolation or **increase
carbon sequestration from the atmosphere on a large scale that may affect
biodiversity** (excluding carbon capture and storage from fossil fuels when it captures carbon dioxide before it is released into the atmosphere) **should
be considered as forms of geo-engineering*

Since large-scale reforestation would *deliberately increase carbon
sequestration on a large scale and affect biodiversity*, large-scale
reforestation would be considered a form of geo-engineering under this
definition.

My understanding is that this was discussed in Nagoya, but it was felt that
large-scale reforestation would fall under the exception when

* there is an adequate scientific basis on which to justify such activities
and appropriate consideration of the associated risks for the environment
and biodiversity and associated social, economic and cultural impacts*

Thus, it appears to me that* for the first time in history, a recognized
international body (the CBD) has considered a form of geoengineering and
found it acceptable for deployment.
*
----

Beyond the spin-doctoring efforts of ETC, the underlying principles behind
the adopted language -- that we want to protect biodiversity, diminish
environmental risk, and develop appropriate safeguards governing experiments
that could potentially have significant adverse impact on biodiversity --
are exemplary.

The main problem is that the adopted language is a bit sloppy. For example,
there is the phrase "may affect biodiversity", but of course everything
affects everything so one could say that anything and everything *may affect biodiversity* (even silly press releases from ETC). However, if this phrase is understood to mean "*may significantly and adversely affect biodiversity*",
then we are close to being on the same page.

___________________________________________________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 [email protected]http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab @kencaldeira



On Thu, Oct 28, 2010 at 6:51 PM, Diana Bronson <[email protected]> wrote:

> See news release below from the ETC Group at the CBD negotiations in > Nagoya
> and watch the press conference <http://webcast.cop10.go.jp/index.asp> of
> ETC Group explaining the moratorium.

> News Release
> 29 October 2010
>www.etcgroup.org

> *Geoengineering Moratorium at UN Ministerial in Japan
> Risky Climate Techno-fixes Blocked*

> NAGOYA, Japan - In a landmark consensus decision, the 193-member UN
> Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) will close its tenth biennial
> meeting with a de facto moratorium on geoengineering projects and
> experiments. "Any private or public experimentation or adventurism
> intended to manipulate the planetary thermostat will be in violation of > this
> carefully crafted UN consensus," stated Silvia Ribeiro, Latin American
> Director of ETC Group.

> The agreement, reached during the ministerial portion of the two-week
> meeting which included 110 environment ministers, asks governments to > ensure
> that no geoengineering activities take place until risks to the
> environmental and biodiversity and associated social, cultural and > economic
> impacts risks have been appropriately considered as well as the
> socio-economic impacts. The CBD secretariat was also instructed to > report
> back on various geoengineering proposals and potential intergovernmental
> regulatory measures.

> The unusually strong consensus decision builds on the 2008 moratorium on
> ocean fertilization. That agreement, negotiated at COP 9 in Bonn, put > the > brakes on a litany of failed "experiments" - both public and private - > to
> sequester atmospheric carbon dioxide in the oceans' depths by spreading
> nutrients on the sea surface. Since then, attention has turned to a > range
> of futuristic proposals to block a percentage of solar radiation via
> large-scale interventions in the atmosphere, stratosphere and outer > space
> that would alter global temperatures and precipitation patterns.

> "This decision clearly places the governance of geoengineering in the
> United Nations where it belongs," said ETC Group Executive Director Pat
> Mooney. "This decision is a victory for common sense, and for > precaution.
> It will not inhibit legitimate scientific research. Decisions on
> geoengineering cannot be made by small groups of scientists from a small
> group of countries that establish self-serving 'voluntary guidelines' on
> climate hacking. What little credibility such efforts may have had in > some > policy circles in the global North has been shattered by this decision. > The
> UK Royal Society and its partners should cancel their Solar Radiation
> Management Governance Initiative and respect that the world's > governments > have collectively decided that future deliberations on geoengineering > should > take place in the UN, where all countries have a seat at the table and > where
> civil society can watch and influence what they are doing."

> Delegates in Nagoya have now clearly understood the potential threat > that > deployment - or even field testing - of geoengineering technologies > poses to > the protection of biodiversity. The decision was hammered out in long > and > difficult late night sessions of a "Friends of the chair" group, > attended by > ETC Group, and adopted by the Working Group 1 Plenary on 27 October > 2010.
> The Chair of the climate and biodiversity negotiations called the final
> text "a highly delicate compromise." All that remains to do now is gavel > it
> through in the final plenary at 6 PM Friday (Nagoya time).

> "The decision is not perfect," said Neth Dano of ETC Group Philippines.
> "Some delegations are understandably concerned that the interim > definition > of geoengineering is too narrow because it does not include Carbon > Capture > and Storage technologies. Before the next CBD meeting, there will be > ample
> opportunity to consider these questions in more detail. But climate
> techno-fixes are now firmly on the UN agenda and will lead to important
> debates as the 20th anniversary of the Earth Summit approaches. A change > of
> course is essential, and geoengineering is clearly not the way forward."

> In Nagoya, Japan
> Pat Mooney: [email protected] (Mobile +1-613-240-0045)
> Silvia Ribeiro: [email protected] (Mobile (local): + 81 90 5036 4659)
> Neth Dano: [email protected] (Mobile: + 63-917-532-9369)

> In Montreal, Canada:
> Diana Bronson: [email protected] (Mobile: +1-514-629-9236)
> Jim Thomas: [email protected] (Mobile: +1-514-516-5759)

> Note to Editors:

> The full texts of the relevant decisions on geoengineering are copied
> below:

> Under Climate Change and Biodiversity (UNEP/CBD/COP/10/L.36)

> 8. Invites Parties and other Governments, according to national
> circumstance and priorities, as well as relevant organizations and
> processes, to consider the guidance below on ways to conserve, > sustainably > use and restore biodiversity and ecosystem services while contributing > to
> climate-change mitigation and adaptation:
> ....
> (w) Ensure, in line and consistent with decision IX/16 C, on ocean
> fertilization and biodiversity and climate change, in the absence of > science > based, global, transparent and effective control and regulatory > mechanisms > for geo-engineering, and in accordance with the precautionary approach > and
> Article 14 of the Convention, that no climate-related geo-engineering
> activities[1] that may affect biodiversity take place, until there is an
> adequate scientific basis on which to justify such activities and
> appropriate consideration of the associated risks for the environment > and > biodiversity and associated social, economic and cultural impacts, with > the > exception of small scale scientific research studies that would be > conducted > in a controlled setting in accordance with Article 3 of the Convention, > and > only if they are justified by the need to gather specific scientific > data > and are subject to a thorough prior assessment of the potential impacts > on
> the environment;
> [1] Without prejudice to future deliberations on the definition of
> geo-engineering activities, understanding that any technologies that
> deliberately reduce solar insolation or increase carbon sequestration > from
> the atmosphere on a large scale that may affect biodiversity (excluding
> carbon capture and storage from fossil fuels when it captures carbon > dioxide > before it is released into the atmosphere) should be considered as forms > of > geo-engineering which are relevant to the Convention on Biological > Diversity
> until a more precise definition can be developed. Noting that solar
> insolation is defined as a measure of solar radiation energy received on > a > given surface area in a given hour and that carbon sequestration is > defined > as the process of increasing the carbon content of a reservoir/pool > other
> than the atmosphere.
> AND
> 9 9. Requests the Executive Secretary to:
> ....
> (o) Compile and synthesize available scientific information, and views > and > experiences of indigenous and local communities and other stakeholders, > on
> the possible impacts of geo-engineering techniques on biodiversity and
> associated social, economic and cultural considerations, and options on
> definitions and understandings of climate-related geo-engineering > relevant
> to the Convention on Biological Diversity and make it available for
> consideration at a meeting of the Subsidiary Body on Scientific, > Technical > and Technological Advice prior to the eleventh meeting of the Conference > of
> the Parties;
> (p) Taking into account the possible need for science based global,
> transparent and effective control and regulatory mechanisms,

...

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