Ken -

I don't consider that far afield at all: I think it's 100% central to
what
this site should be about, since geoengineering and emissions
policies
need to be properly constructed together and be complimentary.
It looks great & I can't wait to read it in more detail.
Cheers, Nathan

On Feb 17, 12:09 pm, Ken Caldeira <[email protected]>
wrote:
> Folks,
>
> The attached paper is a little far afield for this group, but it indicates
> some of the challenges associated with reducing the amount of warming that
> might occur this century through transformation of our energy system.
>
> Particles in the stratosphere change planetary radiative forcing very
> rapidly, whereas changes in emissions change the rate of change of
> radiative forcing, but do not substantially change radiative forcing on a
> short time scales.
>
> Furthermore, in, for example, a 40 year linear transition from coal to,
> say, solar power, only about 1/4 of the avoided emissions come in the first
> 20 years while 3/4 of the avoided emissions occur in the second 20 years.
> If you combine this with lag times introduced by thermal inertia in the
> oceans, you can see that only rapid transitions to the lowest emitting
> technologies can have a substantial effect on climate later this century.
>
> The paper is "open access" and is also available here (along with
> supporting online material):http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/1/014019
>
> We have also made a little YouTube 
> video:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a9LaYCbYCxo
>
> A journalistic account can be found 
> here:http://environmentalresearchweb.org/cws/article/news/48649
>
> Best,
>
> Ken
>
> _______________
> Ken Caldeira
>
> Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
> 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
> +1 650 704 7212 
> [email protected]http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab @kencaldeira
>
> *YouTube:*
> Crop yields in a geoengineered
> climate<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0LCXNoIu-c>
> Influence of sea cucumbers on a coral reef CaCO3
> budget<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FSd4zy8iMo>
>
>  Myhrvold_Caldeira_ERL2012.pdf
> 2236KViewDownload

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