The statement of "I disagree that the pilotless conversion is simple."
makes my point that you seem to lack working knowledge of modern aviation.

M

On Tue, Mar 20, 2012 at 1:42 PM, Andrew Lockley <and...@andrewlockley.com>wrote:

> I disagree that the pilotless conversion is simple.
> The trajectory comment was comparing shells with shells, not shells with
> aircraft
>
> A
>  On Mar 20, 2012 8:36 PM, "Michael Hayes" <voglerl...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
>> The statement of *"there are no unmanned transport
>> aircraft at present"* is misleading. Virtually all modern aircraft can
>> be quickly modified for automation.
>>
>> The statement of *"The closer to vertical it's sent, and
>> the less vehicle which is sent up to transport it, the lower the
>> energy."* is also misleading in that a slow climb rate is the most
>> efficient rate of climb.
>> A shallow climb rate, weather on a straight or circular coarse is the
>> most efficient for a mass effort if fixed wing craft are used.
>>
>> If Andrew wishes to devalue all other forms of aviation in support of
>> ballistics, I would advise reading up..on..aviation.
>>
>> Michael
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Mar 14, 2012 at 6:29 PM, Andrew Lockley <and...@andrewlockley.com
>> > wrote:
>>
>>> Thanks for that, Roger.  I'm aware of the issue with frictional losses
>>> - but the only way to send the payload up with little 'dead metal' is
>>> to propel it from the ground.  The closer to vertical it's sent, and
>>> the less vehicle which is sent up to transport it, the lower the
>>> energy.
>>>
>>> Labour costs are also a big deal - there are no unmanned transport
>>> aircraft at present, other than research planes. (AFAIK).
>>>
>>> This seems to make sense to me.  Am I missing something?
>>>
>>> A
>>>
>>> On 15 March 2012 01:09, John Latham <john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk>
>>> wrote:
>>> > Hello All,
>>> > Please see below message from Roger Angel
>>> > All Best   John (Latham)
>>> >
>>> >                             ************************************
>>> >
>>> > Hello Roger,
>>> > I've sent on yr message (below), as requested, to:
>>> >                               [geoengineering@googlegroups.com]
>>> > Good to hear from you,   John.
>>> >
>>> >                          **************************************
>>> > John Latham
>>> > Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
>>> > Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
>>> > Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
>>> >  or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
>>> > http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham
>>> > ________________________________________
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > From: Roger Angel [ang...@email.arizona.edu]
>>> > Sent: Wednesday, March 14, 2012 11:59 PM
>>> > To: John Latham
>>> > Subject: Re: [geo] Ballistics - failure to distinguish
>>> >
>>> > Hi John,
>>> >
>>> > I sent the following reply to the geo group, but I don't think it went
>>> > through.  I have not sent anything for a long while, though I get it
>>> > all.  You may want to circulate it.
>>> >
>>> > Thanks,
>>> >
>>> > Roger Angel
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Re: Ballistics - failure to distinguish
>>> >
>>> > Another reason to distinguish carefully - the lowest energy solution to
>>> > get sulphur to the stratosphere will get there with zero velocity.
>>> > Technology for orbiting will in general be mismatched because of the
>>> > premium on very high velocities.
>>> >
>>> > - Roger Angel
>>> >
>>> > On 3/14/2012 12:46 PM, John Latham wrote:
>>> >> Hello Andrew.,
>>> >>
>>> >> You say "Ballistic delivery of materials for the purpose of Solar
>>> Radiation Management",
>>> >> but unless I'm misunderstanding you, you mean Stratospheric Sulphur
>>> Seeding, not SRM.
>>> >>
>>> >> Stratospheric Sulphur Seeding is certainly the SRM scheme that has
>>> attracted most
>>> >> attention, and I wish it well, but it is only one of several. Others
>>> include sunshades in
>>> >> space, Russell Seitz's micro-bubbles, painting roofs white&  cloud
>>> brightening.
>>> >>
>>> >> It is good to distinguish clearly between the all-embracing term SRM,
>>> and individual
>>> >> techniques in that category. I wouldnt have written at this point,
>>> but this lack of distinction
>>> >> has been made recently by others, too.
>>> >>
>>> >> Good luck with yr poster.
>>> >>
>>> >> All Best,   John.
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> John Latham
>>> >> Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
>>> >> Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
>>> >> Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
>>> >>   or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
>>> >> http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham
>>> >> ________________________________________
>>> >> From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [
>>> geoengineering@googlegroups.com] on behalf of Andrew Lockley [
>>> andrew.lock...@gmail.com]
>>> >> Sent: Monday, March 12, 2012 11:55 PM
>>> >> To: geoengineering
>>> >> Subject: [geo] Ballistics
>>> >>
>>> >> The below will form the basis of my poster at PUP, and the subsequent
>>> >> paper.  It's at a relatively early stage, and references haven't yet
>>> >> been added.  Comments on or off list would be appreciated.
>>> >>
>>> >> Thanks
>>> >>
>>> >> A
>>> >>
>>> >> --------------------------
>>> >>
>>> >> Ballistics for delivery of SRM materials - an engineering principles
>>> approach
>>> >>
>>> >> Introduction
>>> >> ------------
>>> >>
>>> >> Ballistic delivery of materials for the purpose of Solar Radiation
>>> >> Management has been proposed and appraised by various authors.
>>> >> Evaluation of technologies has been generally limited to redeployed
>>> >> military hardware, such as tank or battleship guns.  Such technologies
>>> >> were not designed to deliver SRM materials, and are poorly suited to
>>> >> the purpose, leading to high cost estimates in previous analyses.  The
>>> >> design of ballistic systems is reappraised with geoengineering use in
>>> >> mind, and a literature review of alternative launch technologies is
>>> >> given.  The intent is to inform later engineering studies and cost
>>> >> analyses which may seek to design in detail, or to cost, a suitable
>>> >> gunnery system.
>>> >>
>>> >> Design requirements
>>> >> --------------------
>>> >>
>>> >> Modern military weapons
>>> >> *Infrequent firing
>>> >> *Portable/vehicle mounted
>>> >> *Operating costs relatively unimportant
>>> >> *Accuracy critical
>>> >> *Shells never recovered
>>> >>
>>> >> Geoengineering guns
>>> >> *Frequent or continuous firing
>>> >> *Potentially static
>>> >> *Operating costs relatively important
>>> >> *Accuracy relatively unimportant
>>> >> *Shells may be recovered
>>> >>
>>> >> Engineering differences
>>> >> -----------------------
>>> >>
>>> >> The objectives listed above will result in geoengineering guns being
>>> >> very different from military weapons.  Below are detailed a range of
>>> >> design principles to guide the development of appropriate guns.
>>> >>
>>> >> *Large calibre: Energy costs are reduced substantially by the lower
>>> >> aerodynamic drag per payload kilo on larger rounds (assuming constant
>>> >> shape).
>>> >> *Static installation: Guns will likely be stationary, but may rotate
>>> >> to disperse projectiles widely.
>>> >> *Elevated, mid latitude firing position:  Firing from a tall tower or
>>> >> mountain top will reduce muzzle velocities significantly, both by
>>> >> increasing altitude and limiting aerodynamic drag.  It will therefore
>>> >> reduce propellant costs and require a less robust shell.  Inserting
>>> >> precursors into the ascending arm of the Brewer-Dobson circulation may
>>> >> also reduce insertion altitudes, as well as aiding dispersion.  As an
>>> >> alternative, an ocean-submerged gun could be used, which will allow
>>> >> easy repositioning and reorientation, as well as a very long barrel.
>>> >> However, submerged guns will necessarily require a longer trajectory
>>> >> through thicker atmospheric strata to attain the same elevations.
>>> >> *Barrel length unrestricted: Static guns can use long barrels.  This
>>> >> means lower pressures are needed, as the propellant can act for
>>> >> longer.  This will permit less robust shell designs.
>>> >> *Barrel wear costs are significant:  Conventional barrels need
>>> >> relining or replacing regularly due to the friction between the
>>> >> projectile and the barrel.  System design which minimises barrel wear
>>> >> is important. (See projectile design, below)
>>> >> *Propellant costs are significant:  Hydrocarbon fuel/air mixtures are
>>> >> alternatives for evaluation.
>>> >> *Accuracy is unimportant: Minor trajectory changes resulting from
>>> >> barrel distortions and sub-calibre projectile designs are largely
>>> >> irrelevant.  This allows a lighter barrel with a lower-friction fit.
>>> >> *Shell costs are significant: Within the limits of a given
>>> >> manufacturing technique, costs generally fall with a larger shell, as
>>> >> the ratio of volume/surface area changes with size.  Further, lower
>>> >> pressures resulting from a longer barrel allow the use of less robust
>>> >> shells than would otherwise be the case.
>>> >> *Externally stabilised barrel:  Military barrels are typically
>>> >> self-supporting, whereas a scaffolding can be built to stabilise a
>>> >> geoengineering gun.  Where available, the gun may be built against
>>> >> terrain.  This additionally has the advantage of allowing easy access
>>> >> to all barrel sections for maintenance.
>>> >>
>>> >> Projectile design
>>> >> ----------------
>>> >>
>>> >> *Lighter shell casings: Geoengineering projectile casings perform no
>>> >> direct function, which differs from military uses where the casing is
>>> >> itself a weapon.  Casing contains the payload (which may be under
>>> >> pressure), allows the propellant to act on it, and acts as a faring
>>> >> during its travel through the atmosphere.  The need to reduce casing
>>> >> cost/weight suggests a more fragile casing, requiring lower propellant
>>> >> pressures, and necessitating a longer barrel.
>>> >> *Gradual payload release: Military guns rely on a momentary
>>> >> detonation; geoengineering guns will likely benefit from a
>>> >> 'slow-bleed' release of payload, to better aid dispersal. To this end,
>>> >> a small dispersal aperture may be preferable to a fully frangible
>>> >> casing.
>>> >> *Low frontal area to volume ratio:  Longer, thinner projectiles
>>> >> experience less drag per unit mass.  This has to be traded off against
>>> >> higher casing costs from a relatively larger surface area.
>>> >> *Payload dispersal: If explosive dispersal is not used, a similarly
>>> >> cheap design for payload dispersal will be required.  High-pressure
>>> >> gases will self-disperse through any aperture.  Liquids will need to
>>> >> be forced through nozzles to achieve controlled particle size and
>>> >> payload delivery at the desired location.  Liquid-filled projectiles
>>> >> will require a significant force to evacuate the payload from a large
>>> >> shell on a short flight time, especially if fine droplet control is
>>> >> required.  Where rifling is practicable, centrifugal force may assist
>>> >> dispersal. However, not all launch technologies permit rifling or
>>> >> equivalent (eg railguns). Throughflow of external air in the payload
>>> >> chamber could provide pressure to distribute the payload.  A
>>> >> propellant charge could alternatively be used.  A simpler alternative
>>> >> would be to dissolve gas into the propellant, allowing it to generate
>>> >> its own force by effervescence.
>>> >> *Shell recycling: Projectiles would ideally be recovered for recycling
>>> >> or reuse.  Predictable fall patterns from a static gun may make this
>>> >> practical.  More complex shell designs are harder to recycle, so a
>>> >> simple design with few materials and components is preferable.
>>> >> *Low-friction driving bands: Swaging bands are used to seal
>>> >> projectiles to the barrel, maintaining a pressure differential.  They
>>> >> are usually metal, but plastic bands are used, such as in the GAU-8/A
>>> >> Avenger fitted to the A-10.  A low acceleration, long-barrel gun will
>>> >> require a less demanding band design.  Some guns, eg GC-45, do not
>>> >> require driving bands at all.
>>> >> *Base bleed: A slow-burning propellant can be added to the base of a
>>> >> projectile in order to stabilise airflow over the rear of the shell.
>>> >> This 'base bleed' technology improves aerodynamics to improve range at
>>> >> a given muzzle energy.
>>> >>
>>> >> Alternative Technologies
>>> >> ----------------------------------
>>> >>
>>> >> A broad range of alternative technologies has previously been proposed
>>> >> for gunnery, much of which has been motivated by a desire to allow
>>> >> ballistic space launch.  Below some technologies are considered which
>>> >> superficially appear suitable for geoengineering.
>>> >>
>>> >> Light gas gun: This uses a tapering combustion chamber filled with
>>> >> light gas (eg H2 or He) to provide potentially high muzzle velocities.
>>> >> The mechanism of action is the same as that of a pellet gun (ie a
>>> >> hydraulic force converter), but with a gas pressure (eg explosive)
>>> >> propellant rather than a spring.  This would be of interest were long
>>> >> flight paths required, as the high muzzle velocity would allow low
>>> >> angles of elevation to be used whilst still enabling the projectile to
>>> >> reach the stratosphere.  This would result in low payload ejection
>>> >> rates and better dispersion.  Cheap fossil fuels can be used, with
>>> >> methane being deployed in experimental systems.  Accelerations are
>>> >> high, complicating projectile design.
>>> >>
>>> >> Ram accelerator: This launch system relies on a teardrop shaped,
>>> >> sub-calibre projectile, which passes through a fuel/air mix.  Due to
>>> >> aerodynamic effects, the passage of the projectile controls the
>>> >> combustion of the surrounding fuel, resulting in a zone of combustion
>>> >> behind the projectile.  This has two crucial advantages: very low
>>> >> barrel wear (only stabilising fins contact the barrel) and very cheap
>>> >> propellant (fuel-air mixture).  However, the projectile has to be
>>> >> launched into the ram accelerator at supersonic speeds, necessitating
>>> >> a secondary launch system and increasing both complexity and cost.
>>> >>
>>> >> Coilgun: Electrically powered coilguns rely on electromagnets to
>>> >> attract and accelerate a ferromagnetic projectile.  This would require
>>> >> the use of a significant mass of ferromagnetic material in the
>>> >> projectile, increasing energy costs and making recovery/recycling more
>>> >> important. Nevertheless, the frictionless design, and entirely
>>> >> electrical power system, makes this an attractive system.  Coilguns
>>> >> are well researched, and various military uses are envisaged with some
>>> >> space-launch projects specified.
>>> >>
>>> >> Ablative laser propulsion: A sulphur mass can be lifted and gasified
>>> >> by the action of a ground based laser.  This propulsion technology
>>> >> could be combined with alternative lifting technologies, such as
>>> >> gunnery.  It has the advantage of potentially being made to work with
>>> >> a solid sulfur projectile, thus eliminating the need to loft other
>>> >> chemical species, which can instead be sourced from atmospheric air.
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> Other projects
>>> >> -------------------
>>> >> Various supergun projects have been tested, which indicate some useful
>>> >> design features and principles:
>>> >> *V3: German WWII V3 gun designs used a smooth-bore barrel and an
>>> >> aerodynamically-stabilised projectile. Propellant was multi-stage
>>> >> solid rocket boosters, inserted into the barrel and fired against the
>>> >> projectile as it passed.
>>> >> *Startram:  This proposed space launch project relies on MAGLEV
>>> >> propulsion to accelerate craft to orbital velocities.  Acceleration
>>> >> takes place in a vacuum, with a plasma window protecting the open end.
>>> >> *Superguns:  Conventional artillery pieces, such as Big Bertha, Dora
>>> >> and Project Babylon have all demonstrated heavy lift capability with
>>> >> extended range.
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> Conclusions
>>> >> ------------
>>> >>
>>> >> Previous evaluation of gunnery for geoengineering use is inadequate,
>>> >> as the military technology evaluated is wholly different in design
>>> >> objectives from custom-build geoengineering equipment.
>>> >>
>>> >> The design of geoengineering guns will likely be based on alternative
>>> >> design principles and may use alternative propellant technologies.
>>> >>
>>> >> Of the alternative gunnery technologies presented, ram accelerators
>>> >> appear to have particular promise because:
>>> >> *Low barrel wear
>>> >> *Very cheap propellant
>>> >> *Low acceleration allows a cheaper, less robust shell
>>> >>
>>> >> A secondary launch system would be required, and a conventional gun
>>> >> could be used.  A light gas gun or coilgun would be likely to reduce
>>> >> costs, once developed, due to low propellant costs.
>>> >>
>>> >> Laser-ablation systems are worthy of consideration, but are at an
>>> >> early research stage.
>>> >>
>>> >> A typical geoengineering gunnery system may therefore be a large
>>> >> 'supergun' style design, based on a two-stage system with ram
>>> >> accelerator technology providing the terminal stage.  The angle of
>>> >> elevation would be non-vertical, to enable bleed-dispersal of payload.
>>> >>   One design variant would rely on terrain support, being built
>>> against
>>> >> the slope of a mountain.  An alternative would be a rotating turntable
>>> >> on a high plateau, which would give broader dispersal but would be
>>> >> more costly per gun.
>>> >>
>>> >> Projectiles would likely be lightweight and substantially less robust
>>> >> than military designs.  An effervescent liquid, or high pressure gas,
>>> >> will likely be the cheapest dispersal technology, should a slow
>>> >> release be preferred.  It is likely that spent projectiles would be
>>> >> recovered and recycled.  Base bleed technology may reduce costs,
>>> >> although there is a tradeoff between energy and complexity costs.
>>> >>
>>> >> --
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>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >
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>>>
>>>
>>>
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>>
>>
>> --
>> *Michael Hayes*
>> *360-708-4976*
>> http://www.voglerlake.com
>>
>>
>>


-- 
*Michael Hayes*
*360-708-4976*
http://www.voglerlake.com

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