Indeed‹my new ones have been on for a couple of weeks now, and are producing
60 kw-hr/day (something like a 25% capacity factor) on sunny days in early
April, so a good bit more than we would have been using even if we were
here.

Mike


On 4/13/12 10:36 AM, "Alan Robock" <[email protected]> wrote:

> Not to mention the advantage of putting solar panels on the roofs instead of
> painting them. 
> 
> Alan
> 
> Alan Robock, Professor II (Distinguished Professor)
> Editor, Reviews of Geophysics
> Director, Meteorology Undergraduate Program
> Associate Director, Center for Environmental Prediction
> Department of Environmental Sciences        Phone: +1-732-932-9800 x6222
> Rutgers University                                  Fax: +1-732-932-8644
> 14 College Farm Road                   E-mail: [email protected]
> New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551  USA      http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~robock
> 
> On Apr 13, 2012, at 5:57 AM, Ken Caldeira <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> The scientists estimated that urban areas make up roughly 1% of the total
>> land area in these regions; increasing albedo by 0.1 only in urban areas
>> would be equivalent to a global change in land-surface albedo of 0.001.
>> "Increasing albedo of urban areas by about 0.1 ­ increasing flat roof albedo
>> by 0.4, increasing sloped roof albedo by 0.25, and pavement albedo by 0.15 ­
>> cools the globe equivalent to offsetting over 100 Gigatonnes of carbon
>> dioxide emissions," said Akbari. "This is equivalent to offsetting the
>> emissions for all the cars in the world for the next 20­30 years."
>> 
>> A global change in land surface albedo of 0.001 is a change in global surface
>> albedo of 0.0003.
>> 
>> If half the land is under clouds this might lead to a global
>> top-of-atmosphere albedo change of something like 0.00018.
>> 
>> A doubling of CO2 can be compensated by a global albedo change of 0.018,
>> which suggests that an urban albedo change 0.01 would have a result that is
>> about 100 times smaller.
>> 
>> If a doubling of CO2 occurs in a century, this suggests this approach could
>> delay warming by 1 year, not 20 to 30 years as claimed in this news report.
>> 
>> Perhaps Damon or Hashem can shed some light on this apparent discrepancy.
>> 
>> Another question is the relative benefits of greening cities versus whitening
>> cities.
>> 
>> 
>> _______________
>> Ken Caldeira
>> 
>> Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
>> 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
>> +1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
>> http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira
>> 
>> Currently visiting  Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS)
>> <http://www.iass-potsdam.de/>
>> and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Resarch (PIK)
>> <http://www.pik-potsdam.de/>  in Potsdam, Germany.
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> On Fri, Apr 13, 2012 at 5:37 AM, Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> Increasing albedo - why we should paint the roof white to reduce energy use
>>> in summer http://environmentalresearchweb.org/cws/article/news/49268
>>> 
>>>  Replacing roofs and pavements with more reflective versions when they wear
>>> out could cut global temperatures by up to 0.07 °C, equivalent to a
>>> reduction in carbon-dioxide emissions of around 150 billion tonnes. That's
>>> according to researchers in Canada who used a global climate model to look
>>> at the effects of albedo changes in urban areas.
>>> 
>>> "Scientists have been proposing novel ideas ­ mostly untested ­for
>>> geoengineering of global climate," Hashem Akbari of Concordia University
>>> told environmentalresearchweb. "Humans have had experience with white
>>> buildings and reflective pavements for thousands of years without any
>>> unknown negative side-effects. Hence cool urban surfaces should be our
>>> geoengineering 101."
>>> 
>>> Akbari and colleagues from Concordia used the University of Victoria Earth
>>> System Climate Model (UVic ESCM) to investigate the effect of albedo
>>> increases of 0.1 until 2300 over all land between latitudes of + and ­20°
>>> (i.e. roughly from Mexico City and Hanoi in the north to Bulawayo, Zimbabwe
>>> in the south), and between + and ­45° (approximately from Lyon, France and
>>> Portland, US to Dunedin in New Zealand). The team used both a
>>> business-as-usual emissions scenario and an aggressive mitigation scenario.
>>> 
>>> The albedo increase on all land between + and ­20 ° latitude would decrease
>>> temperature by roughly one degree over 20 years, while the 45° latitude case
>>> would double this decrease. After 200 years, the decreases would be 1.3 K
>>> and 3 K.
>>> 
>>> The scientists estimated that urban areas make up roughly 1% of the total
>>> land area in these regions; increasing albedo by 0.1 only in urban areas
>>> would be equivalent to a global change in land-surface albedo of 0.001.
>>> 
>>> "Increasing albedo of urban areas by about 0.1 ­ increasing flat roof albedo
>>> by 0.4, increasing sloped roof albedo by 0.25, and pavement albedo by 0.15 ­
>>> cools the globe equivalent to offsetting over 100 Gigatonnes of carbon
>>> dioxide emissions," said Akbari. "This is equivalent to offsetting the
>>> emissions for all the cars in the world for the next 20­30 years."
>>> 
>>> To firm up their calculations, the researchers employed two estimates of
>>> urban area ­ from the Global Rural and Urban Mapping Project (GRUMP) and an
>>> analysis based on MODIS satellite data. The GRUMP results suggest that
>>> global urban areas are more than five times larger than the MODIS data set
>>> indicates.
>>> 
>>> The climate model revealed that increasing albedo by 0.1 only in
>>> GRUMP-designated urban areas would produce long-term cooling of 0.07 K,
>>> equivalent to 130­150 Gigatonnes of carbon. Using the MODIS data for urban
>>> areas, in contrast, would cool the Earth by 0.01 K, equivalent to 25­30
>>> Gigatonnes of carbon.
>>> 
>>> According to Akbari, albedo increases could lead to air-conditioning savings
>>> of about 20% for space under the roof. "This is about $50 bn savings per
>>> year and carbon dioxide savings of about 0.4 Gigatonnes per year; over the
>>> next 100 years that is an emission reduction of 40 Gigatonnes," he said.
>>> "The direct cooling of the Earth by reflecting radiation back to space is an
>>> added bonus that actually counters global warming while putting dollars in
>>> our pocket."
>>> 
>>> The researchers found that the effect of albedo change did not depend to a
>>> large extent on the carbon-dioxide emissions scenario. That said, aggressive
>>> mitigation appeared to produce a roughly 10% larger temperature decrease,
>>> which the team ascribed to stronger snow-albedo feedback.
>>> 
>>> "We should develop policies for no-regret no-cost global cooling measures,"
>>> said Akbari. "Cool cities will save all the people in the world equally and
>>> the value of the dollar saved is significantly higher in developing
>>> countries than the developed country (e.g. $1 saved in the US pays for 10
>>> minutes of a labourer in the US; in the developing countries that pays for a
>>> day of labourer)."

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