http://www.news.ucdavis.edu/search/news_detail.lasso?id=10317

Climate models may overstate black carbon’s influence

August 30, 2012

Global climate models may be overstating the warming properties of black
carbon particles, according to new research led by the University of
California, Davis. The study will be published online Aug. 31 in the
journal Science.“Our results don’t change the fact that things are going to
warm — just to what degree, literally,” said Christopher Cappa, a UC Davis
civil and environmental engineering professor. “Our findings should result
in more accurate predictions.”Cappa is the study’s lead co-author, along
with Timothy Onasch, a principal scientist at Aerodyne Research Inc. in
Billerica, Mass., and an associate research professor of chemistry at
Boston College.A component of soot, black carbon is created through
combustion — when fuels such as oil, coal and wood are burned. Because
black carbon absorbs sunlight, it can warm the atmosphere. Reducing black
carbon in the atmosphere has been a target for near-term climate
mitigation. Earlier studies have suggested black carbon’s warming impacts
are second only to carbon dioxide.Unlike greenhouse gases, which can live
in the atmosphere for centuries, black carbon particles have lifespans of
only one to two weeks, making it more difficult to quantify their impacts
on a global scale through direct measurements. So scientists have had to
rely more heavily on mathematical models to understand black carbon
particles’ impacts on climate change.Climate models regarding black carbon
have been based on theories and laboratory experiments showing that as
other chemicals are condensed onto black carbon particles, the warming
properties of these particles increase.In the new study, an international
team of researchers left the lab and went into the field, where they used
direct measurements to establish to what extent laboratory experiments
translated to the real atmosphere.The researchers found that the chemical
and physical changes that occurred in the field had less impact on black
carbon’s warming ability than lab experiments and models had forecast.
Atmospheric changes to the black carbon particles increased light
absorption by about 6 percent, rather than the 100 percent increase
suggested by previous studies.“This study has implications for thinking
about the direct impact of black carbon on Earth’s energy budget,” said
Cappa.In their new study, Cappa and his colleagues collected data during
two field studies in 2010: CalNex 2010 and the Carbonaceous Aerosols and
Radiative Effects Study (CARES). For CalNex, Cappa boarded the research
vessel Atlantis and sailed along the California coast from San Diego to San
Francisco. The team measured the light absorption by black carbon
particles, the extent to which black carbon particles mixed with other
chemical components in the urban atmosphere, and how black carbon particles
changed over time. During CARES, measurements were made at a ground site in
Sacramento.The research could have implications for regulatory efforts to
reduce the emissions of soot from fossil fuel combustion.Cappa said that
further measurements on a variety of sources and in more locations are
needed to quantify this on a global scale.Funding for the study came from
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency.

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