http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201213/cmselect/cmenvaud/171/17105.htm#a11

Extract

GEO-ENGINEERING

47. The Arctic Methane Emergency Group called for urgent intervention
by governments to avoid tipping points being reached.[176] Given that
there was "nothing in nature that can come to our help",[177] the
Group called on governments to "intervene by cooling the Arctic,
principally by using geo-engineering techniques; ... [these]
techniques have natural analogues which suggest that they should be
safe and effective ... if their deployment [avoided] unwanted
side-effects".[178] They called for the urgent application of a
combination of three geo-engineering technologies: spraying aerosols
into the stratosphere to reflect sunlight away, cloud brightening
using salt-spray also to increase reflection, and cloud removal to
allow heat radiation into space. They also called for the use of
methane capture technologies such as 'methane mats'.[179]

48. There was some differences of view in the evidence we received
about whether geo-engineering in principle was a credible long-term
solution. Professor Wadhams saw geo-engineering as a "sticking
plaster" until the forcing of climate warming is tackled,[180] and
John Nissen believed that the costs would be "hundreds of millions
rather than many billions per year".[181] On the other hand, if such
applications were subsequently stopped, the planet would warm up more
quickly to where it would have been without geo-engineering, rather
than the gradual warming otherwise expected.[182] Professor Lenton
told us that "if you go down that path, you are committing not just
the next generation but tens of generations potentially to keep doing
that". He believed that it was important that economic modelling of
geo-engineering costs included the "possible damages or risk factors"
and a "critical look at those very few existing studies as to whether
they have really quantified [them]".[183]

49. There was consensus that even if geo-engineering techniques could
be used, they first required further development and were not ready
for immediate deployment.[184] Professor John Latham of University
Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA and colleagues
believed that as "key climate processes remain poorly understood,
existing models are unable to provide a reliable means of quantifying
the magnitude of changes that may occur".[185] Professor Lenton told
us that advocates of geo-engineering techniques who suggest "meddling
with Arctic cloud cover", do not necessarily realise that during the
dark Arctic winter clouds generally warmed rather than cooled the
atmosphere.[186] Overall, due diligence was needed to understand all
the consequences of such techniques,[187] including impacts on
rainfall,[188] weather patterns[189] and reduced incoming
sunlight.[190] Professor Latham and colleagues believed that any
geo-engineering scheme "needs to have its concepts rigorously
challenged and then undergo rigorous, peer reviewed testing and
scrutiny before any consideration of its use takes place".[191]

50. Geo-engineering techniques for the Arctic at present do not offer
a credible long-term solution for tackling climate change. Further
research is needed to understand how such techniques work and their
wider impacts on climate systems. In the meantime, therefore, we
remain unconvinced that using 'technical fixes' is the right approach
and efforts should not be diverted from tackling the fundamental
drivers of global climate change.

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