Initial reactions to the abstract:

While many of the geoengineering approaches might be said to be
unconventional (even though virtually all imitate some natural or existing
phenomenon) and untested (at least untested adequately), this charge that
the proposals are risky seems to me to need to be put in the context of the
very great risks created by the increasing concentrations of GHGs (indeed,
even by sustaining the concentrations that we have) for which geoengineering
approaches are intended to reduce the likelihood. This issue is not
geoengineering or not, but human-induced climate change due to GHGs with or
without various approaches to geoengineering. There will be different
consequences depending on the choices made, and the issue would seem to be
the relative consequences (very likely all negative compared to having
human-induced GHG emissions being near zero). And yes, governance aspects
and moral hazard and Man-nature perspectives, etc. are different too, and so
is the likelihood of international actions on cutting emissions, etc., so a
lot to consider. But the critical matter this is a relative risk issue‹and
saying that geoengineering alone (as done here) is (inherently) risky seems
to me to be an unfortunate way to start off the consideration.

Mike MacCracken


On 9/27/12 5:09 AM, "Andrew Lockley" <[email protected]> wrote:

> http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2152131
> 
> Albert Lin 
> 
> University of California, Davis - School of Law
> August 23, 2012
> Ecology Law Quarterly, Forthcoming 
> 
> Abstract:     
>  Geoengineering, a set of unconventional, untested, and risky proposals for
> responding to climate change, has attracted growing attention in the wake of
> our collective failure so far to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.
> Geoengineering research and deployment remain highly controversial, however,
> not only because of the risks involved, but also because of concern that
> geoengineering might undermine climate mitigation and adaptation efforts. The
> latter concern, often described as a moral hazard, has been questioned by some
> but not carefully explored. This article examines the critical question of
> whether geoengineering presents a moral hazard by drawing on empirical studies
> of moral hazard and risk compensation and on the psychology literature of
> heuristics and cultural cognition. The article finds it likely that
> geoengineering efforts will undermine mainstream strategies to combat climate
> change and suggests potential measures for ameliorating this moral hazard.
> 
> Number of Pages in PDF File: 39
> 
> Keywords: 
> geoengineering, climate change, moral hazard, risk compensation
> 
> Accepted Paper Series

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