http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-012-0577-3

The long-term policy context for solar radiation management

Steven J. Smith, Philip J. Rasch

Abstract
We examine the potential role of “solar radiation management” or “sunlight
reduction methods” (SRM) in limiting future climate change, focusing on the
interplay between SRM deployment and mitigation in the context of
uncertainty in climate response. We use a straightforward scenario analysis
to show that the policy and physical context determine the potential need,
amount, and timing of SRM. SRM techniques, along with a substantial
emission reduction policy, would be needed to meet stated policy goals,
such as limiting climate change to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, if the
climate sensitivity is high. The SRM levels examined by current modeling
studies are much higher than the levels required under an assumption of a
consistent long-term policy. We introduce a degree-year metric, which
quantifies the magnitude of SRM that would be needed to keep global
temperatures under a given threshold.

This article is part of a special issue on "Geoengineering Research and its
Limitations" edited by Robert Wood, Stephen Gardiner, and Lauren
Hartzell-Nichols.

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