While several orders of magnitude increase in compute power can allow
better representation of things like clouds and therefore better climate
projections, I don't think most climate scientists see a transition to
quantum computing as leading to a quantum leap in physical understanding of
the climate system.

In other words, I would be surprised if a three-order-of-magnitude (i.e.,
1000x) increase in computing capability would reduce uncertainties by more
than a factor of two.

So, helpful, but perhaps not a game changer.


_______________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution for Science
Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira

*Our YouTube videos*
The Great Climate Experiment: How far can we push the
planet?<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ce2OWROToAI>

Special AGU lecture: Ocean Aciditication: Adaptive Challenge or Extinction
Threat? <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfz2l29aX9c>
More videos <http://www.youtube.com/user/CarnegieGlobEcology/videos>


On Tue, Dec 18, 2012 at 8:28 PM, Dr D <[email protected]> wrote:

> Can someone referred me to a paper that explores whether quantum computing
> will really improve climate modeling in general and geoengineering effects
> in particular? I thought I had read that better supercomputers will help
> but that quantum computing does not add greatly to accuracy of climate
> modeling. Thanks!
>
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