http://environment.harvard.edu/events/2013-02-12/geoengineering-lecture

Geoengineering Lecture

Tuesday, February 12, 2013 - 5:00pm

Contact Name:  Lisa Matthews
[email protected]
Haller Hall, Geo Museum 102, 24 Oxford Street, Cambridge

"Smoke and Mirrors:  Is Geoengineering a Solution to Global Warming?"

with Alan Robock, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University

ABSTRACT: In response to the global warming problem, there has been a
recent renewed interest in geoengineering “solutions” involving “solar
radiation management” by injecting particles into the stratosphere,
brightening clouds, or blocking sunlight with satellites between the Sun
and Earth.  While volcanic eruptions have been suggested as innocuous
examples of stratospheric aerosols cooling the planet, the volcano analog
actually argues against geoengineering because of ozone depletion and
regional hydrologic responses.  In this talk, I describe different proposed
geoengineering designs, and then show climate model calculations that
evaluate both their efficacy and their possible adverse consequences.  No
such systems to conduct geoengineering now exist, but a comparison of
different proposed stratospheric injection schemes, using airplanes,
balloons, and artillery, shows that using airplanes to put sulfur gases
into the stratosphere would not be expensive.  Nevertheless, it would be
very difficult to create stratospheric sulfate particles with a desirable
size distribution.  Our GeoMIP project, conducting climate model
experiments with standard stratospheric aerosol injection scenarios, is
ongoing, but has already shown that temperature and precipitation responses
would be uneven globally.  If there were a way to continuously inject SO2
into the lower stratosphere, it would produce global cooling, stopping
melting of the ice caps, and increasing the uptake of CO2 by plants.  But
there are at least 26 reasons why geoengineering may be a bad idea.  These
include disruption of the Asian and African summer monsoons, reducing
precipitation to the food supply for billions of people; ozone depletion;
no more blue skies; reduction of solar power; and rapid global warming if
it stops.  Furthermore, the prospect of geoengineering working may reduce
the current drive toward reducing greenhouse gas emissions, there are
concerns about commercial or military control, and it may seriously degrade
terrestrial astronomy and satellite remote sensing.  Global efforts to
reduce anthropogenic emissions and to adapt to climate change are a much
better way to channel our resources to address anthropogenic global warming.

ABOUT THE LECTURE SERIES:

Solar geoengineering is the concept of deliberately cooling the Earth by
reflecting a small amount of inbound sunlight back into space. It is the
only currently known method for reducing temperatures in the short term
(years to decades), and therefore has the potential to reduce many of the
worst impacts of global warming. But what would be the side effects, both
physical and socio-political? How would it work and who gets to decide if
it is deployed?  Does humanity have the wisdom and the institutions to
govern the development of such a powerful technology in this messy,
multi-polar world? This seminar series, held jointly by the Harvard
University Center for the Environment (HUCE) and MIT’s Joint Program on the
Science and Policy of Global Change, will explore the science, technology,
governance and ethics of solar geoengineering. In bringing together
international experts, participants will learn some of the greatest
challenges and hear opinions on how this technology could and should be
managed.

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