Poster's note : CDR appears neither practical nor benign at scale

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0682-3

Ecological limits to terrestrial biological carbon dioxide removal

Lydia J. Smith, Margaret S. Torn

Abstract

Terrestrial biological atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (BCDR) through
bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECS),
afforestation/reforestation, and forest and soil management is a family of
proposed climate change mitigation strategies. Very high sequestration
potentials for these strategies have been reported, but there has been no
systematic analysis of the potential ecological limits to and environmental
impacts of implementation at the scale relevant to climate change
mitigation. In this analysis, we identified site-specific aspects of land,
water, nutrients, and habitat that will affect local project-scale carbon
sequestration and ecological impacts. Using this framework, we estimated
global-scale land and resource requirements for BCDR, implemented at a rate
of 1 Pg C y-1. We estimate that removing 1 Pg C y-1 via tropical
afforestation would require at least 7 × 106 ha y-1 of land, 0.09 Tg y-1 of
nitrogen, and 0.2 Tg y-1 of phosphorous, and would increase
evapotranspiration from those lands by almost 50 %. Switchgrass BECS would
require at least 2 × 108 ha of land (20 times U.S. area currently under
bioethanol production) and 20 Tg y-1 of nitrogen (20 % of global fertilizer
nitrogen production), consuming 4 × 1012 m3 y-1 of water. While BCDR
promises some direct (climate) and ancillary (restoration, habitat
protection) benefits, Pg C-scale implementation may be constrained by
ecological factors, and may compromise the ultimate goals of climate change
mitigation.

This article is part of a Special Issue on "Carbon Dioxide Removal from the
Atmosphere: Complementary Insights from Science and Modeling" edited by
Massimo Tavoni, Robert Socolow, and Carlo Carraro.

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