http://m.iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024029

Anthropogenic contribution to cloud condensation nuclei and the first
aerosol indirect climate effect - Abstract - Environmental Research Letters
- IOPscience

Atmospheric particles influence the climate indirectly by acting as cloud
condensation nuclei (CCN). The first aerosol indirect radiative forcing
(FAIRF) constitutes the largest uncertainty among the radiative forcings
quantified by the latest IPCC report (IPCC2007) and is a major source of
uncertainty in predicting climate change. Here, we investigate the
anthropogenic contribution to CCN and associated FAIRF using a
state-of-the-art global chemical transport and aerosol model
(GEOS-Chem/APM) that contains a number of advanced features (including
sectional particle microphysics, online comprehensive chemistry,
consideration of all major aerosol species, online aerosol-cloud-radiation
calculation, and usage of more accurate assimilated meteorology). The model
captures the absolute values and spatial distributions of CCN
concentrations measured in situ around the globe. We show that
anthropogenic emissions increase the global mean CCN in the lower
troposphere by ~60-80% and cloud droplet number concentration by ~40%. The
global mean FAIRF based on GEOS-Chem/APM is -0.75 W m-2, close to the
median values of both IPCC2007 and post-IPCC2007 studies. To the best of
our knowledge, this is the first time that a global sectional aerosol model
with full online chemistry and considering all major aerosol species
(including nitrate, ammonium, and second organic aerosols) has been used
used to calculate FAIRF

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