http://m.iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024035/article

Medieval Irish chronicles reveal persistent volcanic forcing of severe
winter cold events, 431–1649 CE

Francis Ludlow et al 2013 Environ. Res.
Lett. 8024035doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024035

Published 5 June 2013

Abstract

Explosive volcanism resulting in stratospheric injection of sulfate aerosol
is a major driver of regional to global climatic variability on interannual
and longer timescales. However, much of our knowledge of the climatic
impact of volcanism derives from the limited number of eruptions that have
occurred in the modern period during which meteorological instrumental
records are available. We present a uniquely long historical record of
severe short-term cold events from Irish chronicles, 431–1649 CE, and test
the association between cold event occurrence and explosive volcanism.
Thirty eight (79%) of 48 volcanic events identified in the sulfate
deposition record of the Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 ice-core correspond
to 37 (54%) of 69 cold events in this 1219 year period. We show this
association to be statistically significant at the 99.7% confidence level,
revealing both the consistency of response to explosive volcanism for
Ireland's climatically sensitive Northeast Atlantic location and the large
proportional contribution of volcanism to historic cold event frequencies
here. Our results expose, moreover, the extent to which volcanism has
impacted winter-season climate for the region, and can help to further
resolve the complex spatial patterns of Northern Hemisphere winter-season
cooling versus warming after major eruptions.

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