http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1822-9

Abstract

If solar radiation management (SRM) were ever implemented, feedback of the
observed climate state might be used to adjust the radiative forcing of SRM
in order to compensate for uncertainty in either the forcing or the climate
response. Feedback might also compensate for unexpected changes in the
system, e.g. a nonlinear change in climate sensitivity. However, in
addition to the intended response to greenhouse-gas induced changes, the
use of feedback would also result in a geoengineering response to natural
climate variability. We use a box-diffusion dynamic model of the climate
system to understand how changing the properties of the feedback control
affect the emergent dynamics of this coupled human–climate system, and
evaluate these predictions using the HadCM3L general circulation model. In
particular, some amplification of natural variability is unavoidable; any
time delay (e.g., to average out natural variability, or due to
decision-making) exacerbates this amplification, with oscillatory behavior
possible if there is a desire for rapid correction (high feedback gain).
This is a challenge for policy as a delayed response is needed for decision
making. Conversely, the need for feedback to compensate for uncertainty,
combined with a desire to avoid excessive amplification of natural
variability, results in a limit on how rapidly SRM could respond to changes
in the observed state of the climate system.

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