Poster's note : here's some data on tropospheric aerosol which we'd need to
replace with geoengineering if we don't want to suffer warming from cleanup
of factories, power plants, vehicles and stoves.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012JD018294/abstract

Citation

Su, W., N. G. Loeb, G. L. Schuster, M. Chin, and F. G. Rose (2013), Global
all-sky shortwave direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols from
combined satellite observations and GOCART simulations, J. Geophys. Res.
Atmos., 118, 655-669, doi:10.1029/2012JD018294.

Keywords

aerosol;direct radiative effect;direct radiative forcing;clouds

Abstract

Estimation of aerosol direct radiative forcing (DRF) from satellite
measurements is challenging because current satellite sensors do not have
the capability of discriminating between anthropogenic and natural
aerosols. We combine 3-hourly cloud properties from satellite retrievals
with two aerosol data sets to calculate the all-sky aerosol direct
radiative effect (DRE), which is the mean radiative perturbation due to the
presence of both natural and anthropogenic aerosols. The first aerosol data
set is based upon Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and
Model for Atmospheric Transport and Chemistry (MATCH) assimilation model
and is largely constrained by MODIS aerosol optical depth, but it does not
distinguish between anthropogenic and natural aerosols. The other aerosol
data set is based upon the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and
Transport (GOCART) model, which does not assimilate aerosol observations
but predicts the anthropogenic and natural components of aerosols. Thus, we
can calculate the aerosol DRF using GOCART classifications of anthropogenic
and natural aerosols and the ratio of DRF to DRE. We then apply this ratio
to DRE calculated using MODIS/MATCH aerosols to partition it into DRF
(MODIS/MATCH DRF) by assuming that the anthropogenic fractions from GOCART
are representative. The global (60°N~60°S) mean all-sky MODIS/MATCH DRF is
-0.51 Wm-2 at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), 2.51 Wm-2 within the
atmosphere, and -3.02 Wm-2 at the surface. The GOCART all-sky DRF is -0.17
Wm-2 at the TOA, 2.02 Wm-2 within the atmosphere, and -2.19 Wm-2 at the
surface. The differences between MODIS/MATCH DRF and GOCART DRF are solely
due to the differences in aerosol properties, since both computations use
the same cloud properties and surface albedo and the same proportion of
anthropogenic contributions to aerosol DRE. Aerosol optical depths
simulated by the GOCART model are smaller than those in MODIS/MATCH, and
aerosols in the GOCART model are more absorbing than those in MODIS/MATCH.
Large difference in all-sky TOA DRF from these two aerosol data sets
highlights the complexity in determining the all-sky DRF, since the
presence of clouds amplifies the sensitivities of DRF to aerosol
single-scattering albedo and aerosol vertical distribution.

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