http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL057467/abstract

Reversing climate warming by artificial atmospheric carbon-dioxide removal:
can a Holocene-like climate be restored?

Andrew. H. MacDougall

DOI: 10.1002/2013GL057467

Geophysical Research Letters

Keywords:

Holocene;Climate warming;Reversibility

Abstract

Most climate modelling studies of future climate have focused on the
affects of carbon emissions in the present century or the long-term fate of
anthropogenically emitted carbon. However, after carbon emissions cease
there may be a desire to return to a “safe" CO2 concentration within this
millennium. Realistically this implies artificially removing CO 2 from the
atmosphere. In this study experiments are conducted using the University of
Victoria Earth system climate model forced with novelfuture scenarios to
explore the reversibility of climate warming as a response to a gradual
return to pre-industrial radiative forcing. Due to hysteresis in the
permafrost carbon pool the quantity of carbon that must be removed from the
atmosphere is larger than the quantity that was originally emitted
(115–180% of original emissions). In all the reversibility simulations with
a moderate climate sensitivity a climate resembling that of the Holocene
can be restored by 3000 CE.

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