This paper is about using energy balance measurements to detect the effects of geoengineering. But other sensors can measure stratospheric aerosol clouds or stripes in marine clouds, so indeed we could detect the implementation at a much smaller level than we could given the error associated with measuring the radiation budget, including imperfect sampling and natural weather and climate variability.

Alan Robock

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On 1/29/14, 7:21 PM, Fred Zimmerman wrote:

Money quote:

     The perspective article shows, for example, that a three-month
    experiment in the equatorial zone would need to cause an increase
    in sunlight reflection that is three times as large as what
    occurred when Mount Pinatubo erupted in 1991 to exceed the
    background variability and be detected.


I remember hearing David Keith express high confidence that we would be able to detect SRM, this seems to take a different view. Thoughts?



---
Fred Zimmerman
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On Wed, Jan 29, 2014 at 9:51 AM, Stephen Salter <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    Hi All

    The site

    http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n2/pdf/nclimate2076.pdf

    has an interesting paper on the detection problem.

    Stephen
-- Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design School of Engineering
    University of Edinburgh Mayfield Road Edinburgh EH9 3JL Scotland
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    5704 <tel:%2B44%20%280%29131%20650%205704> Cell 07795 203 195
    WWW.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs <http://WWW.see.ed.ac.uk/%7Eshs>

    The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in
    Scotland, with registration number SC005336.

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