Interestingly, one could equally well replace "SRM" with "mitigation"
in the paragraph below starting "The main ethical ...".

Tom.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++

On 2/22/2014 10:57 AM, Bjørnar Egede-Nissen wrote:
Well, the brief description in the Lawrentian leaves out much. I
certainly mentioned the adverse impacts SRM is proposed to
counteract.  I spent 15 minutes in the beginning discussing the
"nightmare rationale" for SRM and I played the newly released IASS video
(http://youtu.be/3GKjl7afwaY) to introduce the topic (on a sidenote, the
video was very well received). Perhaps there's a discussion to be had
about whether the video gives a fair overview of the rationales for
doing SRM. The previous lecture in this series was dedicated to the
science and pros/cons of SRM/geoengineering. My lecture was on ethical
and moral issues that arise in the discourse on SRM, research and
governance, picking up where the other left off. Thus, it was not my job
to do a hard sell of the tipping point argument for SRM.

The main ethical problem with SRM, I think, is political legitimacy.
Almost 200 sovereign states with maybe 9 billion souls would be affected
and have different perspectives on what ought to be done and how. If you
add "in a situation of multiple regional drought/flood catastrophes,
with a small window of opportunity, where many people nevertheless will
have pragmatic or ethical doubts about the wisdom of using technology to
fix a problem caused by technology in combination with the human
condition; a situation where there would almost certainly be significant
power differentials between relative global winners and losers", you
have social complexity approaching off the scales compared to the rather
ordinary (and still (nearly) unresolvable) political problems we face
today. The kind of global institution that could arbitrate such a
situation and make a timely, authoritative, legitimate and lawful
decision about SRM that would be universally respected and obeyed does
not exist, and it is hard to see that it ever will. Now, perhaps that is
too high a bar to set - perhaps it would be enough that a majority of
the global population were represented by states that wanted SRM and a
multilateral consortium implemented it regardless of the wishes of
everyone else. Various other conditions that could bestow sufficient
legitimacy on anyone wanting to geoengineer without global consensus is
worth a discussion on its own (could the end ever justify the means? Is
the only kind of justification possible a ex-post justification in a
scenario where risks and consequences of SRM turned out to be
overblown?). Regardless, all scenarios that would see SRM implemented
would have to overcome really serious ethical and moral obstacles; these
would either have to be resolved in some fashion. Discussion of ethical
issues therefore has to start now.

The prospect of tipping points terrify me - I'm quite convinced they are
plausible. Whether SRM terrifies me more depends on what side of the bed
I got out on in the morning.


Best wishes,
Bjørnar

Bjørnar Egede-Nissen
PhD Candidate
Department of Political Science
Social Science Centre
University of Western Ontario
London, Ontario
N6A 5C2 Canada
Email: beged...@uwo.ca <mailto:beged...@uwo.ca>


On 22 February 2014 10:20, Mike MacCracken <mmacc...@comcast.net
<mailto:mmacc...@comcast.net>> wrote:

    And apparently no mention at all of the adverse impacts that SRM
    would offset—offsets so serious that there is global agreement (if
    not yet sufficient action) that the world must totally give up
    fossil fuels to avoid, that are viewed as potentially having
    nonlinearities and irreversibilities such as loss of tens of percent
    of global biodiversity, sea level rise of many meters, and more.
    Much less any discussion of the various potential forms of
    geoengineering and adaptive application of it, perhaps using SRM to
    slow in near-term and CDR drawdown of CO2 as an exit strategy, etc.

    Mike MacCracken



    On 2/21/14 9:26 PM, "Andrew Lockley" <andrew.lock...@gmail.com
    <http://andrew.lock...@gmail.com>> wrote:

        http://www.lawrentian.com/archives/1002706

        Visiting lecturer discusses moral quandaries in geoengineering

        POSTED ON FEBRUARY 21, 2014 BY XUE YAN

        On Tuesday, Feb. 18, Bjornar Egede-Nissen, from the department
        of political science at the University of Western Ontario, gave
        a lecture titled “Geoengineering: Ethically Challenged,
        Politically Impossible?” in Steitz Hall of Science.The lecture
        covered a brief introduction to geoengineering, its ethical
        challenges and the political difficulties faced by
        geoengineering.According to the lecture, geoengineering is
        defined as the deliberate large-scale manipulation of the
        planetary environment to counteract anthropogenic climate
        change. Solar radiation management (SRM), a theoretical type of
        geoengineering which aims to reflect sunlight back into space to
        reduce global warming, was the main topic of Egede-Nissen’s
        lecture.Egede-Nissen believed that there are some limitations on
        SRM. He said that though SRM is able to block the sunlight, the
        CO2 is still left on the earth, so SRM only treats the symptoms,
        not the causes of global warming. In order to gradually get rid
        of the CO2, people have to continue to use SRM, and due to the
        slow negative emission, it will take a very long time to
        achieve. This is another limitation, he said.Egede-Nissen also
        said that once the use of SRM begins, people would face the exit
        problem of SRM. Also, it is extremely hard to predict the
        effects of the SRM on the climate, so there is also
        unpredictable risk to using SRM.When considering SRM,
        Egede-Nissen said we must also think about the ethical
        challenges.He admitted that there are some justifications of
        doing SRM research, including the cost-benefit analysis, the
        value of scientific research and the emergency options for SRM
        research. According to Egede-Nissen, the SRM can be
        comparatively cheap, but the long time-frame required and the
        side effects of doing SRM research can be cause for
        reconsideration.At the end of the talk, Egede-Nissen said he
        wanted to leave an “irrelevant” take home message. He said,“The
        environment is a bathtub.” He explained that if we put the
        carbon in the earth, it would drain out of the atmosphere in a
        much slower rate. He believed that it is a very common
        misunderstanding to think that stopping emissions today will
        improve the situation, because the past emissions will remain
        there for hundreds of years.Freshman Sara Zaccarine said that it
        was interesting that his talk aimed at raising questions rather
        than answering them. She said, “His examples are very relevant
        to us and it is helpful to understand a lot more.” She also
        likes that he brought the large-scale issue down to more
        specific points.Sophomore Lena Bixby thinks the ethical issues
        are important. People have the technology, but we are not doing
        anything about the problem. She said it is like a moral test:
        “Are we doing anything wrong by not doing anything about [global
        warming]?”

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