http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10807039.2014.932203

Laypeople's Risky Decisions in the Climate Change Context: Climate
Engineering as a Risk-Defusing Strategy?

Dorothee Amelung and Joachim Funkea Department of Psychology, Heidelberg
University,Heidelberg, Germany

Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal
Published online: 17 Jun 2014
DOI: 10.1080/10807039.2014.932203

ABSTRACT

This study explores the development of laypeople's preferences for newly
emerging Climate Engineering technology (CE). It examines whether laypeople
perceive CE to be an acceptable back-up strategy (plan B) if current
efforts to mitigate CO2 emissions were to fail. This idea is a common
justification for CE research in the scientific debate and may
significantly influence future public debates. Ninety-eight German
participants chose their preferred climate policy strategy in a
quasi-realistic scenario. Participants could chose between mitigation and
three CE techniques as alternative options. We employed a think-aloud
interview technique, which allowed us to trace participants’ informational
needs and thought processes. Drawing on Huber's risk management decision
theory, the study addressed whether specific CE options are more likely to
be accepted if they are mentally represented as a back-up strategy. Results
support this assumption especially for cloud whitening. This result is
especially relevant considering the high prevalence of the plan B framing
in CE appraisal studies and its implications for public opinion-formation
processes.

Key Words:

climate engineering, climate politics, risk perception, moral
judgement, public acceptance, values, metacognition

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