>From New Scientist - 12 July 2014

*IEA says government subsidies for fossil fuels about six times that of
renewables*

"The levels of investment needed to mobilize an energy system
transformation and mitigate climate change are not known with certainty.
This paper aims to inform the ongoing dialogue and in so doing to guide
public policy and strategic corporate decision making. Within the framework
of the LIMITS integrated assessment model comparison exercise, we analyze a
multi-IAM ensemble of long-term energy and greenhouse gas emissions
scenarios. Our study provides insight into several critical but uncertain
areas related to the future investment environment, for example in terms of
where capital expenditures may need to flow regionally, into which sectors
they might be concentrated, and what policies could be helpful in spurring
these financial resources. We find that stringent climate policies
consistent with a 2°C climate change target would require a considerable
upscaling of investments into low-carbon energy and energy efficiency,
reaching approximately $45 trillion (range: $30–$75 trillion) cumulative
between 2010 and 2050, or about $1.1 trillion annually. This represents an
increase of some $30 trillion ($10–$55 trillion), or $0.8 trillion per
year, beyond what investments might otherwise be in a reference scenario
that assumes the continuation of present and planned emissions-reducing
policies throughout the world. In other words, a substantial "clean-energy
investment gap" of some $800 billion/yr exists — notably on the same order
of magnitude as present-day subsidies for fossil energy and electricity
worldwide ($523 billion). Unless the gap is filled rather quickly, the 2°C
target could potentially become out of reach."
Read More: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2010007813400101

Graham Knight

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