http://www.riskscience.umich.edu/designing-global-deliberation-geoengineering-governance/

Designing global deliberation for geoengineering governance

September 18, 2014

Shobita Parthasarathy

Shobita Parthasarathy is an associate professor of public policy at the
University of Michigan Ford School of Public Policy.  Her research focuses
on the governance of emerging science and technology, particularly those
that have uncertain environmental, social, ethical, political, and health
implications. Shobita leads the the Risk Science Center Risk Governance
Focus Initiative and was recently elected to the Governing Council of
the Society for the Social Studies of Science (4S).

In recent years, prominent physical scientists, engineers, and a handful of
policymakers have begun asking governments, primarily in the United States
and Europe, to fund research into geoengineering. Geoengineering involves
large-scale technologies that are designed to mitigate climate change by
either reducing solar radiation (e.g., creating a global dimming effect
with sulfate aerosols), or removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
(e.g., seeding the oceans with iron particles which may stimulate
phytoplankton growth, which will in turn suck up carbon dioxide). In the
face of governments that are either unable or unwilling to dramatically
reduce carbon emissions, they argue, geoengineering may be the last best
defense against impacts of climate change.

But we don’t know much about the potential of these technologies, including
their negative effects. They could, observers argue, change weather
patterns in significant ways and damage land and ocean ecosystems, all of
which could have enormous health, social, and economic impacts. And
decisions about what kind of research to conduct, even on a relatively
small scale, could not only shape and constrain future scientific, social,
and policy decisions but also produce risks in and of themselves. Thus,
decisions to initiate funding programs and the choices of which research
projects to fund are fraught with uncertainty and have enormous potential
global impact. As a result, they require careful attention to governance,
including who makes these decisions and how these decisions are made.

I tend to agree with those who suggest that the governance of
geoengineering must include some kind of deliberative component among the
world’s citizens, which would gather citizen perspectives and incorporate
their insights into policymaking so that they feel that their concerns are
considered and represented. The added benefit is that they tend to produce
more thoughtful decisions, too. Such approaches are generally better when
dealing with complex technical topics because average citizens rarely know
much about the issue, because they can elicit nuanced responses, and
because they can more comprehensively value the insights that average
citizens offer.

But incorporating deliberative mechanisms into the governance of
geoengineering research and development will not be straightforward. These
technologies will have global impact, some are irreversible, and most
require intensive maintenance on a global scale. So how should we develop
such mechanisms?

First, we have to think about who we would include, since it would be
impossible to include the world’s population in geoengineering
deliberation. At the outset, it seems important to include taxpayers (most
likely in the United States and Europe) who would fund the early stage
geoengineering research programs. We also need to include those who are
likely to be most affected by geoengineering technologies, both from
populations most affected by climate change (e.g., island nations like
Kiribati and the Maldives) and those most likely to be affected by the
risks of geoengineering (e.g., changes to the Asian and African monsoons).
And finally, we would want to include populations who would be moderately
affected by climate change (and by geoengineering) but who might also have
the resources to adapt better.

Second, we must remember that many of the deliberative mechanisms developed
for science and technology policymaking, such as consensus conferences,
were developed in Europe and the United States. Therefore, we have to
analyze carefully how they would translate to the countries where we plan
to conduct deliberative exercises. Might other forms of deliberation be
appropriate? Are there, for example, indigenous forms of deliberation that
might be adapted for these purposes? Consider, for example, the case of
South Asian panchayats. Local village councils that predate modern
democracies, they are composed of elders and settle local disputes. Even
today, these panchayats are often considered by local villagers to be more
legitimate than formal government mechanisms. Given this, it seems that we
would want to incorporate at least some of elements of panchayats into a
deliberative mechanism used in South Asia. But of course, any deliberative
mechanism used in these contexts should be developed jointly with local
populations.

Third, we have to consider how to reconcile the recommendations coming from
these multiple deliberative sites. Because they will likely use different
processes, this may be a difficult task. But, one could imagine an
international advisory committee that includes representation from across
deliberation sites as well as scientists, social scientists, humanists,
business leaders, and NGO representatives, that would perform this work.

In sum, given the potential risks and benefits of geoengineering, and the
growing citizen engagement (and activism) related to science and technology
policymaking across the world, a deliberative approach is necessary. But
the technology’s potential global and long-term impact makes the
development of such a deliberative mechanism quite challenging. We must,
therefore, think carefully and strategically about how to develop and
deploy these efforts, with specific attention to the various modes of
governance that are deemed politically legitimate across the world. Without
such careful attention, it is difficult to imagine how geoengineering
research and development will proceed as a potential response to climate
change.

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