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Poster's note : this economic rationalism methodology tends to overlook
emotive and behavioral issues, and possibly overstates 'moral hazard' type
arguments as a consequence. Behavioural research shows geoengineering is
feared, and thus less preferred than a simple rational agent analysis would
suggest. However, a minimax approach may shed some additional light.

http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/publication/why-is-geoengineering-so-tempting/

Why is geoengineering so tempting?

 15 October
Working Paper 170

Geoengineering can be defined as the technologies that aim to deliberately
alter geophysical mechanisms in order to alleviate the impacts of climate
change. It has received increasing attention by economists and the public
but remains deeply controversial. This paper studies the potential benefits
from geoengineering in a standard one-sector growth model augmented with a
carbon cycle and a climate system. These benefits can be interpreted as a
lower bound for the direct and indirect costs which would make
geoengineering less preferable to abatement. In the planner’s solution to
the model, exogenous geoengineering in the future increases investment in
physical capital and reduces abatement, both today and in the future. The
central result of the paper is that the direct and indirect costs of
geoengineering must be large for geoengineering not to be tempting.
Nevertheless, substantial abatement is optimal even when geoengineering
does not entail any costs. A sensitivity analysis establishes how the
results change in a world with a lower initial capital stock; an earlier
availability of geoengineering; and under different parameter values for
the discount rate and the curvature of the damage function. Together these
results show how the temptation to use geoengineering can be different for
developing and advanced countries.

Author

Baran Doda

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