http://m.rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/372/2031/20140062.abstract

Ethical aspects of the mitigation obstruction argument against climate
engineering research

 Authors

Abstract

Many commentators fear that climate engineering research might lead
policy-makers to reduce mitigation efforts. Most of the literature on this
so-called ‘moral hazard’ problem focuses on the prediction that climate
engineering research would reduce mitigation efforts. This paper focuses on
a related ethical question: Why would it be a bad thing if climate
engineering research obstructed mitigation? If climate engineering promises
to be effective enough, it might justify some reduction in mitigation.
Climate policy portfolios involving sufficiently large or poorly planned
reductions in mitigation, however, could lead to an outcome that would be
worse than the portfolio that would be chosen in the absence of further
climate engineering research. This paper applies three ethical perspectives
to describe the kinds of portfolios that would be worse than that ‘baseline
portfolio’. The literature on climate engineering identifies various
mechanisms that might cause policy-makers to choose these inferior
portfolios, but it is difficult to know in advance whether the existence of
these mechanisms means that climate engineering research really would lead
to a worse outcome. In the light of that uncertainty, a precautionary
approach suggests that researchers should take measures to reduce the risk
of mitigation obstruction. Several such measures are suggested.

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