I am happy to see that CDR in the form of a large upscaling of the process that 
has always removed CO2 from the atmosphere, and thus has kept  CO2 levels 
within bounds for the whole geological history of the Earth does no longer play 
a part in (dangerous) geo-engineering. That process, for those who still don’t 
know, is the weathering of basic silicates, in which process rocks react with 
CO2 and water, with the end-result the formation of limestones and dolomites. 
In these rocks millions of times more CO2 is safely stored than all the CO2 in 
the air, the biomass and the oceans combined. Nature carried out the first 
large scale experiments some 4.6 billion years ago, and we can help nature a 
bit to also remove the larger amounts of CO2 that mankind is emitting now, Olaf 
Schuiling

From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] 
On Behalf Of Andrew Lockley
Sent: woensdag 26 november 2014 22:40
To: geoengineering
Subject: [geo] Geoengineering the planet: first experiments take shape - New 
Scientist


http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22429974.000-geoengineering-the-planet-first-experiments-take-shape.html?full=true#.VHZHyyMYbFo

Geoengineering the planet: first experiments take shape

27 November 2014 by Andy Coghlan

IF WE can't reduce emissions enough, what else can cool the planet? We need to 
find out if geoengineering works, and soon, say a group of atmospheric 
scientists.Engineering the planet's weather and climate is a highly 
controversial idea. That's why we need experiments, the group say, and they 
want the first to start in two years' time. The frontrunners are schemes to 
alter the atmosphere to reflect more of the sun's rays back into space, or to 
change clouds so that they let more of Earth's heat out instead of trapping it 
(see diagrams).

Last week, the group published a "road map" of proposals for how real-world 
experiments might be carried out (Philosophical Transactions of the Royal 
Society A, doi.org/xb9<http://doi.org/xb9>).

One would explore the effects of injecting aerosols of sea salt into marine 
clouds. The aim is to increase the water droplet content of the clouds, making 
them reflect more sunlight – so called marine cloud brightening.

The second, and most detailed, devised by John Dykema of Harvard University, 
would explore the effects of injecting sulphur-containing substances at an 
altitude of 20 kilometres – the lower reaches of the boundary with outer space 
(Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 
doi.org/xb8).The<http://doi.org/xb8).The> aim of the so-called stratospheric 
controlled perturbation experiment, or SCoPEx, is to see if sulphate ions would 
undermine measures to rebuild the ozone layer. The fear is that such substances 
might set off chemical reactions that deplete the ozone.

The third experiment would explore the potential for making cirrus clouds in 
the upper atmosphere more porous to radiation bouncing back into space from 
Earth. Water vapour in the clouds behaves like a greenhouse gas, trapping heat 
almost as efficiently as carbon dioxide. By seeding them with substances like 
bismuth tri-iodide, which cause water to form into ice particles, the hope is 
to reduce the water vapour and allow more radiation to escape.Geoengineering to 
cool the planet by deliberately altering Earth's atmosphere is highly 
controversial, with sceptics fearing it will fail and mess up the climate even 
more. Altering cloud cover, for example, could change rainfall patterns and 
increase droughts and floods unpredictably. Opponents also fear that if we rely 
on geoengineering solutions, people will no longer strive towards the main goal 
of dramatically reducing our reliance on the fossil fuels that are inexorably 
heating up the planet.Nevertheless, some ideas deserve further exploration, say 
proponents. The road map, conceived at a Harvard workshop in March, is "a big 
move forward", says lead author David Keith, who is also at Harvard.

So far, all geoengineering work has been in the lab or based on computer 
models. "Modelling and lab experiments are critical," says Dykema. "But to 
understand the intricate chemistry people are concerned about, the only way to 
find out is in the atmosphere, where you have the right flux of solar 
radiation, the right mix of chemical species and the real dynamics of aerosol 
particle interactions in gas, liquid and solid phases."

"The proposed experiments are quite small scale, and the environmental 
consequences are likely to be negligible compared with a lot of human activity 
we already take for granted," says co-author Doug MacMartin of the California 
Institute of Technology in Pasadena.

Dykema's experiment, for example, involves releasing just a kilogram of 
sulphur, the same amount as emitted in just 1 minute by a standard commercial 
jet.

However, a major UK project to investigate geoengineering, called theIntegrated 
Assessment of Geoengineering Proposals, is more cautious and pessimistic about 
solar radiation management.

Scaling up

For example, researchers using computer simulations have found that attempts to 
reduce solar radiation in the Arctic to stop sea ice from retreating are 
infeasible. "We found that the scale of deployment in both time and space would 
have to be huge before current observing systems could detect any effect," says 
principal investigator Piers Forster of the University of Leeds.

And he is sceptical of small-scale tests. "We've emitted 500 billion tonnes of 
carbon dioxide and we only recently have any certainty this is affecting our 
climate, so limited field tests would tell you next to nothing about the 
climate effects of solar geoengineering."

The would-be experimenters argue that, if anything, reliance on modelling 
increases their case to pursue more real-world data, to make the models more 
accurate. Models are potentially compromised by having too little real-world 
data to work with, they say.

"There are many aspects of climate interactions, especially those that affect 
clouds, that are poorly understood because the range of scales, from nanometres 
to kilometres, can't be accurately included in global models," says Lynn 
Russell of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego, California, a 
member of the experimentation group.

Trials would provide invaluable insights for mainstream climate research, she 
says, even if geoengineering ultimately proves to be impractical. Observations 
from such experiments would also allow us to understand cloud processes better 
and lead to improvement in climate models more generally, she says.

"My preference is for experiments that have broad utility, both for 
understanding proposed solar geoengineering schemes and improving our 
understanding of the natural climate system," says Ken Caldeira of the Carnegie 
Institution for Science in Stanford, California.

Keith says the earliest the SCoPEx experiment could get going would be in two 
years' time. In the meantime, the researchers are hoping to secure $10 million 
in funding from the US government.They also call for the formation of national 
regulatory bodies to independently assess the merits of all proposed 
experiments and give official permission to conduct them. Such approval is 
imperative to retain public trust, they say. "We believe that external 
governance is critical," says Dykema. "But at present, there's no one to apply 
to, to do the experiments."
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