I agree with the basic idea that the politics of this will be likely to be 
very tricky (although - and partly for that reason - I remain unconvinced 
by the other premise of the article that SPI has been overwhelmingly shown 
to have net life-saving potential). 

Andrew, why the incredulity at a conflict scenario? The thing about 
international relations is that outcomes do not always reflect intentions 
or desired collective outcomes. History is full of consensus processes 
breaking down and collectively sub-optimal (to put it mildly) outcomes. 
Presumably 
everybody had an incentive to avoid the chaos of WW1 and stick to a 
consensus process...  

So the authors are right in my opinion to raise this problem regarding SRM. 
I would add that by complicating/souring the international diplomatic 
situation SRM could easily affect the ability to agree and cooperate 
internationally on mitigation and adaptation too, which we agree would 
still need to happen as fast as possible. 

If we are consistently outcome-ethical about it we probably shouldn't put 
the politics in one compartment and the evaluation of the technology in 
another one. 

Best regards
Olaf Corry


  

On Friday, 30 January 2015 09:18:54 UTC, andrewjlockley wrote:
>
> I disagree fundamentally with the premise of this article. 
>
> A decision on climate has to be made. Everyone knows it. Everyone has an 
> incentive to avoid chaos. Therefore, people have a very large incentive to 
> stick to a consensus process, because anyone who doesn't stick will 
> instantly break that consensus and cause chaos - which is a guaranteed 
> loser for all. 
>
> Same reason villagers don't burgle their neighbours when police are busy 
> elsewhere dealing with a major incident. 
>
> A
> On 30 Jan 2015 08:54, "Andy Parker" <[email protected] <javascript:>> 
> wrote:
>
>> Hey folks, the Washington Post just published an op ed on the messy 
>> politics of solar geoengineering, written by David Keith and me: 
>> http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/whats-the-right-temperature-for-the-earth/2015/01/29/b2dda53a-7c05-11e4-84d4-7c896b90abdc_story.html
>>
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