Hi All

From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insolation the variation of solar input with season and latitude should be shown below.




At midsummer there is about 540 watts per square metre going in to the North pole compared with 440 going in to the equator. In addition, around the Arctic there is a very high fraction of low cloud cover, 80 to 90 % compared with around 25% and a much lower boundary layer, about 200 metres so that much less air has to be treated with salt nuclei. The only requirements for slowing ice melt are mobility of spray vessels and movement of air or water in a northerly direction.

I was a bit puzzled by Ken's mention of a few billion dollars a year for marine cloud brightening and would like to collect references on this. My own figures were based on index linking of the cost of Flower class corvettes in WW II which were build in similar numbers and suggest a few billion dollars for a fleet which might last for 20 years or more. Please can people send me any other cost estimates?

However we can agree that the costs are 'in the noise'.

Stephen


Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design. School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh EH9 3JL, Scotland [email protected], Tel +44 (0)131 650 5704, Cell 07795 203 195, WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs, YouTube Jamie Taylor Power for Change
On 28/05/2015 22:38, Ronal W. Larson wrote:
List cc Ken, John Nissen,  Stephen Salter

Ken’s message re cloud brightening seems to be important . Maybe well known to those close to the field, but I found much new - especially between about 6 and 18 minutes in Part 4 ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3D6mx5SQo8 ) . Nice to see credit give to Stephen.

Dr. Neukermans and a very few others have done a lot of impressive work (as volunteers). His speaking style I found convincing (including all of video #3 - none on cloud brightening). I liked that some unpromising approaches were also described. Only a little new (but obviously well justified) money is now being sought.

One question I pose on behalf of John Nissen and others in AMEG is why the Arctic’s lack of sunlight (mentioned at about the 18 minute mark) is critical. On an annual basis I believe the insolation is about the world wide average (as the sun doesn’t set for quite a few months). Not knowing enough on the whole topic, this technical advance would seem to be very good news for John/AMEG - if this Arctic solar issue can still be on the table.

There are quite a few publications on this work, with a few of the most recent at

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260755971_Sub-micrometer_salt_aerosol_production_intended_for_marine_cloud_brightening

http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21635983-scientific-studies-techniques-deliberately-modifying-climate-are

http://articles.latimes.com/2014/mar/04/nation/la-na-climate-engineering-20140305/2

Ron



On May 28, 2015, at 9:04 AM, Ken Caldeira <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Five YouTube videos of the 12 May event are available here:

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4E3D946BECCF7DE3

The event is described here:

http://www.sri.com/newsroom/events/cafe-scientifique-silicon-valley-sri-two-novel-approaches-mitigating-climate-change

Part 1: Ken on solar geo and strat aerosols: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Y6p-B-KbiQ Part 2: Ken on solar geo and strat aerosols: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wo5Y-SPrybE Part 3: Armand on marine cloud brighening: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZbpYGwu4KNA Part 4: Armand on marine cloud brighening: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3D6mx5SQo8 Part 5: Ken and Armand answer questions: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9KS9Nbe3Wzs


  Cafe Scientifique Silicon Valley @ SRI: Reflecting Sunlight to Cool
  Earth's Climate: Emulating Volcanoes and Brightening Marine Clouds

May 12, 2015
SRI - Menlo Park, CA

This free Cafe event will feature presentations by two thought leaders on climate change:

Caldeira and Neukermans
Ken Caldeira (l); Armand Neukermans (r)

*Solar Geoengineering and Climate Change: *Nearly everyone understands that the most effective way to reduce environmental risk associated with climate change is to deeply cut greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible, yet emissions and atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases continue to increase. If current emissions trends continue, by the end of this century, nearly every summer in the tropics will be hotter than the hottest summer yet on record, raising the possibility of widespread crop failures and famine. If climate change does prove truly catastrophic, the only feasible way to cool the Earth rapidly would be to use solar geoengineering technologies, for example, by emulating the cooling effects of volcanoes. While it is fairly certain that Earth's climate can be cooled in this way, it is far less certain whether such approaches could ever really reduce overall risk and damage. *Dr. Ken Caldeira* <http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab/Caldeira_bio.html>, a senior climate scientist at the Carnegie Institution for Science, will present the science of solar geoengineering and discuss what this science might mean for society.

*Marine Cloud Brightening: *The National Academy of Sciences recently called for research into “geoengineering“. *Dr. Armand Neukermans* will describe the efforts of a group of retired scientists and engineers to develop a spray system that might enable a study of the feasibility of marine cloud brightening (MCB) for climate cloud studies, as well as possible climate intervention. MCB aims to increase the reflectivity of low-hanging ocean clouds, thereby reflecting more sunlight and cooling the planet. This might be done by increasing the droplet concentration in the clouds by spraying seawater from oceangoing ships. The proposed systems aims to create 1015 cloud nuclei from a glass of seawater. MCB ( if ever needed) might conceivably be used globally or locally (e.g., for arctic melt shielding, hurricane cooling, reef preservation, or fog belt restoration).


      About the Speakers

*Dr. Ken Caldeira *is a climate scientist working for the Carnegie Institution for Science, Department of Global Ecology at Stanford University. He investigates issues related to climate, carbon, and energy systems. His primary tools are climate and the carbon cycle models, although he does field work related to ocean acidification. Dr. Caldeira co-authored a recent National Academies report <http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth>, /Climate Intervention: Reflecting Sunlight to Cool Earth/. A free PDF version <http://www.nap.edu/download.php?record_id=18988> is available.

*Dr. Armand Neukermans *has held research and management positions at KLA-Tencor, Hewlett-Packard, Xerox, and General Electric, and founded Xros, an optical switch company. He is the author of 40 publications and the inventor of more than 75 patents in diverse fields. He was named Silicon Valley “Inventor of the year” in 2001. Since his retirement, he has been involved in environmental projects, such as the foundation of the Big Sur Environmental Institute, and in fostering the causes of social entrepreneurs. He holds EE and ME degrees from Louvain University, and a Ph.D. in applied physics from Stanford University.

- See more at: http://www.sri.com/newsroom/events/cafe-scientifique-silicon-valley-sri-two-novel-approaches-mitigating-climate-change#sthash.S562iCyX.dpuf


_______________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution for Science
Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
website: http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab/
blog:http://kencaldeira.org <http://kencaldeira.org/>
@KenCaldeira

My assistant is Dawn Ross <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>>, with access to incoming emails. Postdoc positions: https://jobs.carnegiescience.edu/jobs/postdoctoral-opportunity-global-climate-modeling/


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