Poster's note : Relevant to BECCS, but also note that VOC emissions from
vegetation adjust albedo due to production of haze over forests (eg the
"Smoky Mountains")

http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.5b00266

Impact of Biofuel Poplar Cultivation on Ground-Level Ozone and Premature
Human Mortality Depends on Cultivar Selection and Planting Location

Kirsti Ashworth†, Oliver Wild*†, Allyson S. D. Eller‡ and C. Nick Hewitt†
*E-mail: [email protected]; phone: +44 (0)1524 594871; fax: +44
(0)1524 593985

Environmental Science & Technology

Vol. 49: Issue. 14: Pages. 8566-8575
(Volume publication date: July 2015)

DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5b00266

Isoprene and other volatile organic compounds emitted from vegetation play
a key role in governing the formation of ground-level ozone. Emission rates
of such compounds depend critically on the plant species. The cultivation
of biofuel feedstocks will contribute to future land use change, altering
the distribution of plant species and hence the magnitude and distribution
of emissions. Here we use relationships between biomass yield and isoprene
emissions derived from experimental data for 29 commercially available
poplar hybrids to assess the impact that the large-scale cultivation of
poplar for use as a biofuel feedstock will have on air quality,
specifically ground-level ozone concentrations, in Europe. We show that the
increases in ground-level ozone across Europe will increase the number of
premature deaths attributable to ozone pollution each year by up to 6%.
Substantial crop losses (up to ∼9 Mt y–1 of wheat and maize) are also
projected. We further demonstrate that these impacts are strongly dependent
on the location of the poplar plantations, due to the prevailing
meteorology, the population density, and the dominant crop type of the
region. Our findings indicate the need for a concerted and centralized
decision-making process that considers all aspects of future land use
change in Europe, and not just the effect on greenhouse gas emissions

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