http://www.technologyreview.com/news/544551/paris-climate-agreement-rests-on-shaky-technological-foundations/?utm_campaign=newsletters&utm_source=newsletter-weekly-energy&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20151221

"Simply put, the technology for separating carbon dioxide from power-plant 
emissions—not to mention the infrastructure to transport it and store it 
underground—is too expensive and too cumbersome for commercial deployment. 
While there is intriguing research going on, there is no prospect on the 
immediate horizon for making it economical.

Equally fanciful are visions of 
“afforestation”<http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/14/climate-expert-calls-for-decarbonisation-tech-to-help-meet-paris-targets>—planting
 large forests to remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. The Australian 
climate scientist and author Tim Flannery has estimated that it would take a 
forest four times the size of the Australian 
continent<http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/cop21-the-global-warming-targets-agreed-in-paris-will-drive-a-carbon-capture-revolution-a6771136.html>
 to make even a small dent in atmospheric carbon. In its 2014 Emissions Gap 
Report<http://www.unep.org/publications/ebooks/emissionsgapreport2014/portals/50268/pdf/EGR2014_LOWRES.pdf>,
 the U.N.’s Environmental Panel came to a similar conclusion: “Theoretically, 
carbon uptake or net negative emissions could be achieved by extensive 
reforestation and forest growth, or by schemes that combine bioenergy use with 
carbon capture and storage. But the feasibility of such large-scale schemes is 
still uncertain.” That means any international climate scheme founded on these 
technologies is uncertain at best. It’s entirely reasonable to hope for rapid 
advances in energy storage and nuclear power over the next couple of decades. 
But if we rely on capturing carbon from power plants and removing it from the 
atmosphere to accomplish our climate goals, those hopes are likely to be 
dashed."

True, the technologies required to stay below 2 deg C are currently uncertain, 
the most egregious of these being CCS.  So isn't this a clarion call for a much 
broader solicitation and testing of additional carbon management ideas? At the 
end of the day there may be no cost-effective, safe and quickly deployable 
technological solutions, but this outcome will be guaranteed as long as CCS, 
afforestation and BECCS continue to be peddled as the only "winning" approaches 
worth pursuing.

Greg

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