http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068079/abstract

Simulated long-term climate response to idealized solar geoengineering

Authors
Long Cao,
Lei Duan,
Govindasamy Bala,
Ken Caldeira

02 March 2016
doi: 10.1002/2016GL068079

Abstract

Solar geoengineering has been proposed as a potential means to counteract
anthropogenic climate change, yet it is unknown how such climate
intervention might affect the Earth's climate on the millennial time scale.
Here we use the HadCM3L model to conduct a 1000-year sunshade
geoengineering simulation in which solar irradiance is uniformly reduced by
4% to approximately offset global mean warming from an abrupt quadrupling
of atmospheric CO2. During the 1000-year period, modeled global climate,
including temperature, hydrological cycle, and ocean circulation of the
high-CO2 simulation departs substantially from that of the control
preindustrial simulation, whereas the climate of the geoengineering
simulation remains much closer to that of the preindustrial state with
little drift. The results of our study do not support the hypothesis that
non-linearities in the climate system would cause substantial drift in the
climate system if solar geoengineering were to be deployed on the timescale
of a millennium.

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