(open access)
http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034012;jsessionid=48C5EA9745D795DC1543D75276D3259C.c3.iopscience.cld.iop.org

Quantifying the temperature-independent effect of stratospheric aerosol
geoengineering on global-mean precipitation in a multi-model ensemble

Angus J Ferraro and Hannah G Griffiths
4 March 2016
 Environmental Research Letters, Volume 11,Number 3

Abstract

The reduction in global-mean precipitation when stratospheric aerosol
geoengineering is used to counterbalance global warming from increasing
carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations has been mainly attributed to the
temperature-independent effect of CO2 on atmospheric radiative cooling. We
demonstrate here that stratospheric sulphate aerosol itself also acts to
reduce global-mean precipitation independent of its effects on temperature.
The temperature-independent effect of stratospheric aerosol geoenginering
on global-mean precipitation is calculated by removing
temperature-dependent effects from climate model simulations of the
Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). When sulphate
aerosol is injected into the stratosphere at a rate of 5 Tg SO2 per year
the aerosol reduces global-mean precipitation by approximately 0.2 %,
though multiple ensemble members are required to separate this effect from
internal variability. For comparison, the precipitation reduction from the
temperature-independent effect of increasing CO2 concentrations under the
RCP4.5 scenario of the future is approximately 0.5 %. The
temperature-independent effect of stratospheric sulphate aerosol arises
from the aerosol's effect on tropospheric radiative cooling. Radiative
transfer calculations show this is mainly due to increasing downward
emission of infrared radiation by the aerosol, but there is also a
contribution from the stratospheric warming the aerosol causes. Our results
suggest climate model simulations of solar dimming can capture the main
features of the global-mean precipitation response to stratospheric aerosol
geoengineering.

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