http://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/esd-2016-16/

Response of the AMOC to reduced solar radiation – the modulating role of
atmospheric-chemistry

Stefan Muthers, Christoph C. Raible, and Thomas F. Stocker
University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
: 25 Apr 2016

Abstract. The influence of reduced solar forcing (grand solar minimum or
geoengineering scenarios like solar radiation management) on the Atlantic
meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is assessed in an ensemble of
atmosphere-ocean-chemistry-climate model simulations. Ensemble sensitivity
simulations are performed with and without interactive chemistry. Without
chemistry-climate interaction the AMOC is intensified in the course of the
solar radiation reduction (SRR), which is attributed to the thermal effect
of the solar forcing: reduced sea surface temperatures and enhanced sea ice
formation increase the density of the upper ocean in the North Atlantic and
intensify the deepwater formation. In simulations with chemistry-climate
interactions a second, dynamical effect on the AMOC is identified which
counteracts the thermal effect. This dynamical mechanism is driven by the
stratospheric cooling in response to the reduced solar forcing, which is
strongest in the tropics and leads to a weakening of the Northern polar
vortex. In simulations with interactive chemistry, these stratospheric
changes are strongly amplified by the reduction of stratospheric ozone. By
stratosphere-troposphere interactions, the stratospheric circulation
anomalies induce a negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation in the
troposphere, which is found to weaken the AMOC through wind stress and heat
flux anomalies in the North Atlantic. Neglecting chemistry-climate
interactions in model simulations may therefore lead to an overestimation
of the AMOC response to solar forcing.

Citation: Muthers, S., Raible, C. C., and Stocker, T. F.: Response of the
AMOC to reduced solar radiation – the modulating role of
atmospheric-chemistry, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,
doi:10.5194/esd-2016-16, in review, 2016

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