http://www.nomadit.co.uk/easst/easst_4s2016/panels.php5?PanelID=4497

4S/EASST CONFERENCE BCN-2016
Science + technology by other means

(T133)

Tackling climate change by other means: opening up geoengineering governance

Location [TBD]

Date and Start Time [TBD] at [TBD]

Sessions 2

ConvenorRob Bellamy (University of Oxford)email

Mail All Convenors

Short Abstract

Geoengineering is seen as a way to cut through diplomatic barriers that
impede and weaken progress on tackling climate change. This session
examines the geoengineering techno-fix as 'politics by other means',
seeking to explicate dilemmas of control and framings by diverse
collectives.

Long Abstract

The Paris Agreement has set out global commitments to keep the world's
average temperature well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to
strive for limiting the increase to 1.5°C. Climate modelling research has
shown that these ambitions are not physically possible without deploying
geoengineering technologies: deliberate large-scale interventions in the
Earth's climate system for removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere or
reflecting sunlight away from the Earth. Geoengineering is seen by many as
a way to cut through the diplomatic barriers that impede and weaken
progress through international negotiations. Yet, as science and technology
studies scholars have observed, this tackling climate change by other,
technological means, is only 'politics by other means'. Indeed, the British
Royal Society argued that the acceptability of these proposals will be
determined as much by social, political, legal, and ethical issues as by
scientific and technical factors. This session brings together scholars
working to explicate framings and foresight of geoengineering by diverse
collectives, dilemmas of technology control, and governance and regulatory
choices. Papers will address a range of pressing questions: what does it
mean to take responsibility for the world's climate? How can scientists
take better care of the futures they help create? How do experts and
publics evaluate and make sense of geoengineering? What elements are
necessary for conducting responsible geoengineering research and
experimentation? How can we better anticipate the shifting governance needs
of speculative sociotechnical systems?

This track is closed to new paper proposals.

Papers

A sociotechnical framework for governing geoengineering

Author: Rob Bellamy (University of Oxford) email

Short Abstract

Proposed ways of governing geoengineering have most often been supported by
narrowly framed and unreflexive appraisals. This paper explores the
implications of a Deliberative Mapping project that, unlike other
principles, have emerged from an extensive process of reflection and
reflexivity.

Long Abstract

Proposed ways of governing climate geoengineering have most often been
supported by narrowly framed and unreflexive appraisals and processes.
Together with boundary work carried out by other academics and learned
societies, these principles have served to legitimize geoengineering
research as an object of governance. In doing so, they bypass 'technologies
of humility' that would see broad participation in their very definition
and implicitly reject one critical alternative pathway: that research not
be undertaken at all. This paper explores the governance implications of a
Deliberative Mapping project that, unlike other governance principles, have
emerged from an extensive process of reflection and reflexivity. In turn,
the project has made significant advances in addressing the current deficit
of responsibly defined criteria for shaping governance propositions. Three
such propositions are offered. The first is that reflexive foresight of the
imagined futures in which geoengineering proposals might reside is
required. The second is that the performance and acceptance of
geoengineering proposals should be decided in terms of robustness, not
optimality. The third is that geoengineering proposals should be
satisfactorily 'opened up' before they can be considered legitimate objects
of governance. The implications and challenges for responsibly governing
specific geoengineering proposals are then discussed. Taken together, the
propositions in this paper offer a sociotechnical framework not simply for
governing geoengineering but for governing responses to climate change at
large.

Developing a Code of Conduct for Geoengineering Research

Author: Anna-Maria Hubert (University of Calgary )  email

Short Abstract

Geoengineering raises the long-term prospect of earth systems management
with an immediate need for anticipatory, reflexive and transparent
oversight of research. Drawing upon the insights of legal scholars and
other disciplines, it discusses the possible elements for a code of conduct
for such research.

Long Abstract

The recent Paris Agreement on climate change sets ambitious aims to limit
the global average temperature increase to "well below 2°C above
pre-industrial levels." Scientific advances and technological innovation
will be critical in order to achieve rapid emissions reductions towards
reaching climate objectives. However, geoengineering proposals stand apart
as some of the most "radical solutions" in the spectrum of proposed
strategies. Geoengineering, if pursued in any form on a large scale, raises
the long-term prospect of global environmental management at the earth
systems level together with a prospective immediate need for anticipatory,
reflexive and transparent oversight of research related to these
controversial, emerging technologies. International law is largely silent
on the question of how geoengineering research should be governed or
regulated. While the law supplies relevant general principles and rules,
novel arrangements will be required to address the specific challenges and
uncertainties raised by geoengineering research, particularly experimental
interventions in the open environment. The Royal Society has recommended
the development of "a code of practice for geoengineering research" that
will "provide recommendations to the international scientific community for
a voluntary research governance framework." This paper outlines the
rationale, merits and drawbacks of such an approach. Drawing upon the
insights of legal scholars and other disciplines on this topic, it
discusses the possible content and form of such an instrument, which could
serve as an important gap-filling measure, leading to more robust and
binding forms of regulation of geoengineering in the future.

Disruptive Discourse: Negotiating the Boundaries of Geoengineering Research

Author: Steve Rayner (University of Oxford) email

Short Abstract

This paper explores competing framings of geoengineering and the boundary
work involved in redefining technological proposals to include or exclude
them from any emerging governance framework. The paper explores the
implications of this definitional politics for geoengineering research and
policy.

Long Abstract

Disruptive Discourse explores the competing framings of "geoengineering"
and the boundary work involved in redefining a range of highly
heterogeneous technological imaginaries to include or exclude them from any
emerging governance framework for research and development. The very idea
of containing such heterogeneity in a single category of geoengineering is
contested, as is what specific technologies, if any, should count as
geoengineering as distinct from mitigation and adaptation. Advocates of
some technological practices seek to avoid the geoengineering label out of
concern that they will be subject to further regulation, while others lobby
for inclusion as a perceived route to unlock R&D funding. The paper
explores the origins, dynamics and implications of this definitional
politics for geoengineering research and climate policy and summarizes a
bottom-up approach to building a responsible framework for research
governance. It concludes by highlighting how the prospect of geoengineering
is potentially disruptive to well-established political alignments in
climate policy discourse and asks not only what geoengineering can do for
the climate but also what the climate geoengineering governance discourse
can do for society.

Is Solar Radiation Management a Governable Object? And what does this
reframing imply for research funders?

Authors: Phil Macnaghten (Wageningen University)  email
Bronislaw Szerszynski (Lancaster University) email

Short Abstract

In this paper I examine the question as to whether SRM is a governable
object. By this I ask how we can understand what governance arrangements
would need to be put in place for SRM to function as planned, and the
plausibility of these being realized in the real world.

Long Abstract

In this paper I examine the question as to whether SRM is a governable
object. By this I ask how we can understand what governance arrangements
would need to be put in place for SRM to function as planned, and the
plausibility of these being realized in the real world. There are two
variants on this question: whether SRM deployment would work as predicted
by current models and proposed fieldtrials (scenario A) or whether it would
not (scenario B). My argument is that the debate on governance, and the
accompanying debate on social and ethical impacts, has proceeded (largely)
by presuming the reliability of the models and the efficacy of proposed
fieldtrials (following scenario A): how can international agreement over
the 'ideal' global climate be reached, who would be the winners and losers,
how they can be compensated, who should decide and on the basis of what
criteria, and so on. But if SRM deployment creates unforeseen impacts, if
there are inevitable shocks and surprises that had not been predicted in
advance by models or fieldtrials (scenario B), if in addition it is subject
to unstable and plural framing and goals, what additional challenges would
this imply for governance.

Lay people's sense making of climate engineering: a cross-country focus
group study

Authors: Victoria Wibeck (Department of Thematic Studies - Environmental
Change) email
Anders Hansson (TEMA)  email

Short Abstract

The study is based on results from a cross-country study of how lay people
make sense of climate engineering. We have conducted 23 focus groups in
Japan, New Zealand, USA and Sweden with 136 participants and analyze e.g.
climate emergency arguments, risks, trust, agency and governance.

Long Abstract

This paper presents preliminary results from a cross-country study of how
lay people make sense of climate engineering, i.e. controversial proposals
for large-scale, deliberate manipulation of the Earth's climate by
technologies for sunlight reflection or carbon dioxide removal from the air.

In contrast to earlier focus group studies, which have mostly focused on
single countries, this paper presents preliminary results from an ongoing
study, where we conducted focus group interviews among lay people in four
geographically and culturally diverse countries: Japan, New Zealand, the
USA and Sweden. Focus group methodology has proved fruitful for analyzing
not only what participants think about different topics, but also how they
make sense of unfamiliar, controversial or complex issues. As such, focus
groups generate data well suited for sense-making analysis. In total we
conducted 23 focus groups with altogether 136 participants. To our
knowledge, this is to date the largest focus group study on geoengineering.

The paper will discuss varieties and commonalities in sense-making across
the focus groups, with regard to e.g. climate emergency arguments, risks,
possibilities, trust, agency and governance. We will pay particular
attention to sense-making strategies, such as the use of analogies,
metaphors and narratives. This analysis will contribute to the STS
literature on public engagement with climate engineering, meaning making
processes concerning novel technologies and the relation between human,
society and nature.

The paper is co-authored by A. Hansson, V. Wibeck, J. Anshelm, L. Dilling,
R. Hauser, P. Feetham and S. Asayama.

Scenarios, Imaginaries, and SRM Governance

Author: Sean Low (Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies)  email

Short Abstract

This project applied scenarios as ‘designed imaginaries’ to
methodologically ground discussions of future-oriented challenges for SRM
governance, and to emphasize the potential for constructive engagement with
imaginaries in exploring and structuring research, governance, and
discourse.

Long Abstract

Since SRM technologies do not yet exist and capacities to model their
impacts are limited, governance proposals are implicitly designed not
around realities, but possibilities- baskets of risk and benefit that are
often components of sociotechnical imaginaries. The project Solar Radiation
Management: Foresight for Governance (SRM4G) aimed to make discussion of
such imaginaries explicit, and to nudge the mode of thinking about the
future of an engineered climate from predictive to anticipatory. Leveraging
the participation of scholars and practitioners heavily engaged in early
conversations on SRM governance, SRM4G applied scenario construction to
generate a set of alternative futures, each exercising different influences
on the need for - and challenges associated with - development of SRM
technologies. The scenarios then provided the context for the design of
systems of governance with the capacity and legitimacy to respond to those
challenges, and for the evaluation of the advantages and drawbacks of
different options against a wide range of imaginary but plausible futures.
In doing so, SRM4G sought to initiate a conversation within the SRM
research community on the capacity of foresight approaches to highlight how
central sociotechnical imaginaries are to discussions of SRM's risks and
benefits, to examine and challenge the assumptions embedded in
conceptualizing SRM's aims, development, and governance, and to discuss the
capacity of (or the need for) governance options to adapt to a wide range
of possibilities.

The historical evolution and political dimensions of geoengineering
terminology

Author: Stefan Schäfer  email

Short Abstract

I present a historical review of the evolution of geoengineering
terminology and associated concepts, followed by an analysis of the
political dimensions of this history and their manifestation in the
contemporary geoengineering discourse.

Long Abstract

In recent years, terminology has become an increasingly contested matter in
the geoengineering discourse. While several suggestions for umbrella terms
that cover the range of geoengineering proposals exist - from the most
widely used duo of "geoengineering" and "climate engineering" to
lesser-used terms such as "climate intervention", "climate remediation", or
"climate management" - the most controversial debate currently concerns
whether or not these umbrella terms should be disaggregated into the
individual proposals that form their constituent parts. I trace the
historical evolution of geoengineering terminology and associated concepts
through an analysis of formative publications, including policy documents,
assessment reports, and scientific publications. I then argue that the
historical evolution and contemporary configuration of geoengineering
terminology have politically active dimensions, and that increasing
controversy over terminology is the result of underlying political
alignments. Spelling out the political dimensions of geoengineering
terminology thus plays an important role in developing an understanding of
what lies at the core of contemporary controversy over geoengineering. An
appreciation of the political dimensions of terminology can also assist in
developing deeper understandings in other science and technology debates,
such as those on genetic engineering and nanotechnology, and can assist in
situating geoengineering vis-à-vis them.

The Security Implications of Geoengineering

Authors: Paul Nightingale (University of Sussex)  email
Rose Cairns (University of Sussex)  email

Short Abstract

Geoengineering raises indirect security concerns that have received limited
attention. The military, rather than scientists, may drive SRM, and it may
require a significant and costly security infrastructure to prevent
disruption and manage blame, creating unforeseen governance problems.

Long Abstract

The prospect of geoengineering in response to climate change raises a
number of security concerns that have traditionally been understood within
a standard geo-political framing of security. This relates to their direct
application in inter-State warfare or to a securitisation of climate
change. While direct military applications are unrealistic, indirect
security implications are potentially significant. Current capability,
security threats and international law loopholes suggest the military,
rather than scientists would undertake SRM. SRM activity would be covered
by Critical National Infrastructure policies, which would necessitate a
significant level of secondary security infrastructure to protect them.
Concerns about termination effects, the need to impose international policy
agreement (given the ability of 'Rogue States' to disrupt SRM and existing
difficulties in producing global agreement on climate policy), and a world
of extreme weather events, where weather is engineered and hence
blameworthy rather than natural, suggest these cost may well be large.
Evidence on how blame is attributed suggest blame for extreme weather
events may be directed towards more technologically advanced nations, (such
as the USA) even if they are not engaged in geoengineering. From a security
perspective SRM may well end up being very costly, and difficult to govern.
These secondary security concerns are of a sufficient magnitude to suggest
that questions can be raised about the viability of geoengineering (SRM) as
a policy option.

This track is closed to new paper proposals.

CONTACT

General conference e-mail address:[email protected]
For program-related issues please contact to: [email protected]
For registration and payment issues please contact to:[email protected]

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