http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201724

Article
Achieving net-zero emissions through the reframing of UK national targets
in the post-Paris Agreement era

   - Steve Pye <http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201724#auth-1>
   - , Francis G. N. Li
   <http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201724#auth-2>
   - […]
   - Birgit Fais <http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201724#auth-4>


   - *Nature Energy* 2, Article number: 17024 (2017)
   - doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.24
   - Download Citation <http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201724.ris>
   -
      - Climate-change mitigation
      <http://www.nature.com/subjects/climate-change-mitigation>
      - Energy policy <http://www.nature.com/subjects/energy-policy>

Received:15 June 2016Accepted:27 January 2017Published online:06 March 2017
Abstract

The Paris Agreement provides an international framework aimed at limiting
average global temperature rise to well below 2 ∘C, implemented through
actions determined at the national level. As the Agreement necessitates a
‘net-zero’ emissions energy system by 2100, decarbonization analyses in
support of national climate policy should consider the post-2050 period.
Focusing solely on mitigation objectives for 2030 or 2050 could lead to
blindsiding of the challenge, inadequate ambition in the near term, and
poor investment choices in energy infrastructure. Here we show, using the
UK as an example, that even an ambitious climate policy is likely to fall
short of the challenge of net-zero, and that analysis of the post-2050
period is therefore critical. We find that the analysis of detailed,
longer-term national pathways that achieve net-zero is important for future
reassessment of ambition under nationally determined contributions (NDCs).

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