The timeframe of the analysis is not clear. The article cites estimates of
"upper limits" on CDR methods, but what is the nature of these limits -
economic, physical, biological? Some of these estimates refer to 2100, but
a clear timeframe does not appear to be explicitly declared, so I don't
know how directly comparable all of these estimates on "upper limits" are.

So once again, I will make my usual observation that these projections
about end-of-century CDR capacity are *absurd* if they do not include a
rigorous accounting of technological advancement in the interim. In
particular, automation via machine labor is likely to *radically* expand
CDR methods that are dependent upon any non-biological factors of
production (e.g. abiotic material inputs, energy inputs, and labor inputs).
See my publications for details.

- Adam

On Aug 24, 2017 5:28 AM, "Andrew Lockley" <andrew.lock...@gmail.com> wrote:

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wene.253/full


Slicing the pie: how big could carbon dioxide removal be?
Authors

   - Peter Psarras,
   1.

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Peter%20Psarras%22>
   - Holly Krutka,
   - Mathilde Fajardy,
   1.

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Mathilde%20Fajardy%22>
   - Zhiqu Zhang,
   1.

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Zhiqu%20Zhang%22>
   - Simona Liguori,
   1.

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Simona%20Liguori%22>
   - Niall Mac Dowell,
   1.

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Niall%20Mac%20Dowell%22>
   - Jennifer Wilcox
   - <wil...@mines.edu>
   1.
   -

      <wil...@mines.edu>

   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Jennifer%20Wilcox%22>


   - First published:28 July 2017Full publication history
   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wene.253/full#publication-history>
   - DOI:10.1002/wene.253  View/save citation
   <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/enhanced/exportCitation/doi/10.1002/wene.253>
   - Cited by (CrossRef):0 articlesCheck for updates
   
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   - Conflict of interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of
   interest for this article.

Abstract

The current global dependence on fossil fuels to meet energy needs
continues to increase. If a 2°C warming by 2100 is to be prevented, it will
become important to adopt strategies that not only avoid CO2 emissions but
also allow for the direct removal of CO2 from the atmosphere, enabling the
intervention of climate change. The primary direct removal methods
discussed in this review include land management and mineral carbonation in
addition to bioenergy and direct air capture with carbon capture and
reliable storage. These methods are discussed in detail, and their
potential for CO2 removal is assessed. The global upper bound for
annual CO2removal
was estimated to be 12, 10, 6, and 5 GtCO2/year for bioenergy with carbon
capture and reliable storage (BECCS), direct air capture with reliable
storage (DACS), land management, and mineral carbonation,
respectively—giving a cumulative value of ~35 GtCO2/year. However, in the
case of DACS, global data on the overlap of low-emission energy sources and
reliable CO2storage opportunities—set as a qualification for DAC
viability—were unavailable, and the potential upper bound estimate is thus
considered conservative. The upper bounds on the costs associated with the
direct CO2removal methods varied from approximately $100/tCO2 (land
management, BECCS, and mineral carbonation) to $1000/tCO2 for DACS (again,
these are the upper bounds for costs). In this review, these direct CO2 removal
technologies are found to be technically viable and are potentially
important options in preventing 2°C warming by 2100. *WIREs Energy
Environ* 2017,
6:e253. doi: 10.1002/wene.253

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