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Impacts of hemispheric solar geoengineering on tropical cyclone frequency
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Impacts of hemispheric solar geoengineering on tropical cyclone frequency

   - Anthony C. Jones
   <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-01606-0#auth-1>,
   - James M. Haywood
   <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-01606-0#auth-2>,
   - […]
   - Andy Jones <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-01606-0#auth-7>


   - *Nature Communications* 8, Article number: 1382(2017)
   - doi:10.1038/s41467-017-01606-0
   - Download Citation
   <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-01606-0.ris>
   -
      - Atmospheric science
      <https://www.nature.com/subjects/atmospheric-science>
      - Climate and Earth system modelling
      <https://www.nature.com/subjects/climate-and-earth-system-modelling>

Received:20 March 2017Accepted:02 October 2017Published online:14 November
2017


Abstract

Solar geoengineering refers to a range of proposed methods for
counteracting global warming by artificially reducing sunlight at Earth’s
surface. The most widely known solar geoengineering proposal is
stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), which has impacts analogous to those
from volcanic eruptions. Observations following major volcanic eruptions
indicate that aerosol enhancements confined to a single hemisphere
effectively modulate North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the
following years. Here we investigate the effects of both single-hemisphere
and global SAI scenarios on North Atlantic TC activity using the HadGEM2-ES
general circulation model and various TC identification methods. We show
that a robust result from all of the methods is that SAI applied to the
southern hemisphere would enhance TC frequency relative to a global SAI
application, and vice versa for SAI in the northern hemisphere. Our results
reemphasise concerns regarding regional geoengineering and should motivate
policymakers to regulate large-scale unilateral geoengineering deployments

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