Poster's note : this doesn't appear to contradict "No losers", but perhaps others can clarify...?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000720/full Regional climate impacts of stabilizing global warming at 1.5 K using solar geoengineering Authors - Anthony C. Jones, - <anthony.jo...@metoffice.gov.uk> - <http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3894-2867> 1. - <anthony.jo...@metoffice.gov.uk> <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Anthony%20C.%20Jones%22> - Matthew K. Hawcroft, 1. <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Matthew%20K.%20Hawcroft%22> - James M. Haywood, - <http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2143-6634> 1. 2. <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22James%20M.%20Haywood%22> - Andy Jones, - <http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1814-7601> 1. <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Andy%20Jones%22> - Xiaoran Guo, 1. <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22Xiaoran%20Guo%22> - John C. Moore - <http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8271-5787> 1. 2. <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/advanced/search/results?searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.fieldName=author&start=1&resultsPerPage=20&searchRowCriteria%5B0%5D.queryString=%22John%20C.%20Moore%22> - Accepted manuscript online:8 February 2018Full publication history <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000720/full#publication-history> - DOI:10.1002/2017EF000720 View/save citation <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/enhanced/exportCitation/doi/10.1002/2017EF000720> - Cited by (CrossRef):0 articlesCheck for updates <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/enhanced/refreshCitedBy?doi=10.1002/2017EF000720&refreshCitedByCounter=true> Citation tools - [image: Article has an altmetric score of 11] <https://www.altmetric.com/details.php?domain=onlinelibrary.wiley.com&citation_id=32856738> Abstract The 2015 Paris Agreement aims to limit global warming to well below 2 K above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit global warming to 1.5 K, in order to avert dangerous climate change. However, current greenhouse gas emissions targets are more compatible with scenarios exhibiting end-of-century global warming of 2.6 - 3.1 K, in clear contradiction to the 1.5 K target. In this study, we use a global climate model to investigate the climatic impacts of using solar geoengineering by stratospheric aerosol injection to stabilize global-mean temperature at 1.5 K for the duration of the 21st century against 3 scenarios spanning the range of plausible greenhouse gas mitigation pathways (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5). In addition to stabilizing global mean temperature and offsetting both Arctic sea-ice loss and thermosteric sea-level rise, we find that solar geoengineering could effectively counteract enhancements to the frequency of extreme storms in the North Atlantic and heatwaves in Europe, but would be less effective at counteracting hydrological changes in the Amazon basin and North Atlantic storm track displacement. In summary, solar geoengineering may reduce global mean impacts but is an imperfect solution at the regional level, where the effects of climate change are experienced. Our results should galvanize research into the regionality of climate responses to solar geoengineering -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
