I remain of the view that MCB could be commercialised for this purpose relatively easily. The investment would for R&D and fleet construction be perhaps $10-100M, and the fee for each storm-busting job would probably be 20M (a bargain, when the US alone is taking 200bn damage per year). You'd likely get 1-3/Yr, min, giving an average income of 40M. Alternatively, there may be a larger number of cheaper jobs.
Assuming an operating cost base of 30pc of fee, that's roughly 25M/yr operating profit. The investment breaks even at year 2-4, is sustainably profitable thereafter, and retains substantial value in know-how and IP. Andrew On Mon, 9 Jul 2018, 10:04 Stephen Salter, <s.sal...@ed.ac.uk> wrote: > Dear Cyril > > Thank you. That is exactly what I imagined. The next questions are how > far in advance of the heavy rain can we get a warning and how deep the > patch of warm water goes. I will have to learn how to drive the NOAA > website. It was alarming to get warnings from both Google and Firefox that > this might be dangerous. > > I have done some calcualtions about the number of spray vessels that would > be needed to cool El NiƱo events with marine cloud brightening. The number > was surprisongly small and I would like to hear from anyone who would like > to check them. > > Stephen > > Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design > School of Engineering > Mayfield Road > Edinburgh EH9 3DW > +44 (0)131 650 5704 > > > On 09/07/2018 08:20, cyril caminade wrote: > > Dear all > > This was a smoking gun in 2015 indeed (El Nino starting) > Warm SST anomalies can be seen around Japan in late June 2018 > http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/cmb/sst_analysis/images/wkanomv2.png > http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/cmb/sst_analysis/images/monanomv2.png > > > > 2018-07-08 23:07 GMT+01:00 Stephen Salter <s.sal...@ed.ac.uk>: > >> Hi All >> >> This could be a smoking gun. >> >> [image: Image result for Sea surface temperature anomaly Japan] >> >> >> Stephen >> >> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design >> School of Engineering >> Mayfield Road >> Edinburgh EH9 3DW >> +44 (0)131 650 5704 >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "geoengineering" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >> To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. >> Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >> >> The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in >> Scotland, with registration number SC005336. >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "geoengineering" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >> To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. >> Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >> >> > > > -- > Dr. Cyril Caminade > University of Liverpool, Institute of Infection and Global Health, Horn > office, LUCINDA group. Liverpool Science Park IC2 building, 146 Brownlow > Hill, Liverpool L35RF, UK > Tel: 00 44 (0)151 795 8322 > > https://www.liverpool.ac.uk/infection-and-global-health/staff/cyril-caminade/ > > > -- > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. > Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. > The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in > Scotland, with registration number SC005336. > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. > Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.