I remain of the view that MCB could be commercialised for this purpose
relatively easily. The investment would for R&D and fleet construction be
perhaps $10-100M, and the fee for each storm-busting job would probably be
20M (a bargain, when the US alone is taking 200bn damage per year). You'd
likely get 1-3/Yr, min, giving an average income of 40M. Alternatively,
there may be a larger number of cheaper jobs.

Assuming an operating cost base of 30pc of fee, that's roughly 25M/yr
operating profit. The investment breaks even at year 2-4, is sustainably
profitable thereafter, and retains substantial value in know-how and IP.

Andrew



On Mon, 9 Jul 2018, 10:04 Stephen Salter, <s.sal...@ed.ac.uk> wrote:

> Dear Cyril
>
> Thank you.  That is exactly what I imagined.  The next questions are how
> far in advance of the heavy rain can we get a warning and how deep the
> patch of warm water goes.  I will have to learn how to drive the NOAA
> website.  It was alarming to get warnings from both Google and Firefox that
> this might be dangerous.
>
> I have done some calcualtions about the number of spray vessels that would
> be needed to cool El NiƱo events with marine cloud brightening. The number
> was surprisongly small and I would like to hear from anyone who would like
> to check them.
>
> Stephen
>
> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
> School of Engineering
> Mayfield Road
> Edinburgh EH9 3DW
> +44 (0)131 650 5704
>
>
> On 09/07/2018 08:20, cyril caminade wrote:
>
> Dear all
>
> This was a smoking gun in 2015 indeed (El Nino starting)
> Warm SST anomalies can be seen  around Japan in late June 2018
> http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/cmb/sst_analysis/images/wkanomv2.png
> http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/cmb/sst_analysis/images/monanomv2.png
>
>
>
> 2018-07-08 23:07 GMT+01:00 Stephen Salter <s.sal...@ed.ac.uk>:
>
>> Hi All
>>
>> This could be a smoking gun.
>>
>> [image: Image result for Sea surface temperature anomaly Japan]
>>
>>
>> Stephen
>>
>> Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
>> School of Engineering
>> Mayfield Road
>> Edinburgh EH9 3DW
>> +44 (0)131 650 5704
>>
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>
> --
> Dr. Cyril Caminade
> University of Liverpool, Institute of Infection and Global Health, Horn
> office, LUCINDA group. Liverpool Science Park IC2 building, 146 Brownlow
> Hill, Liverpool L35RF, UK
> Tel: 00 44 (0)151 795 8322
>
> https://www.liverpool.ac.uk/infection-and-global-health/staff/cyril-caminade/
>
>
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