http://legal-planet.org/2018/11/27/dont-believe-everything-that-you-read/

Legal Planet
MENU
Home » Don’t Believe Everything That You Read
Climate Change | Environmental Science | General | International
Environmental Law
JESSE REYNOLDS November 27, 2018
Don’t Believe Everything That You Read
Solar geoengineering is often inaccurately portrayed in the media
CNN solar geoengineering tweetIf you had followed the climate change news
over the weekend, you might have been shocked to see headlines such as
“Scientists Prescribe a Healthy Dose of Sulphate Particles to Promote
Global Cooling on the Cheap.” CNN tweeted that “Harvard and Yale scientists
are proposing that we tackle climate change by dimming the sun.” And the
British tabloid The Express shouted “GLOBAL WARMING SOLVED: Plans to DIM
Sun by releasing CHEMICALS into atmosphere.” Such exaggerations — both
positive and negative — are unfortunately common in media coverage of solar
geoengineering.

These journalists apparently did not contact the authors of the study in
question. In the (open access!) scientific article on which they reported,
Wake Smith and Gernot Wagner study the logistics of getting aerosols into
the stratosphere, the leading proposed solar geoengineering method, and
confirm that its direct financial implementation costs would be inexpensive
in terms of climate change economics. But had the journalists done their
homework, they would have found in both the article and the press release
the authors’ clear statement: “We here make no judgment about the
desirability of” stratospheric aerosol injection.

To be clear, there is more to solar geoengineering’s costs that the
financial ones of deployment. With Andy Parker and Peter Irvine, I wrote:

The total costs of the SRM [i.e., solar geoengineering] system would
ultimately be much higher than those for the simple delivery because there
would be many other items added to the bill before the final reckoning. For
example, a large-scale observation and modeling effort would be needed if
the deployer wanted to monitor the impacts of their climate intervention.
Furthermore, high-level security would be necessary to protect the
deployment infrastructure, and excess deployment capacity would be
desirable “insurance” against the possibility of faulty or destroyed
delivery equipment. In addition, even if SRM were to reduce net harms from
climate change around the world, some areas might still experience negative
environmental effects. Funds might be needed to compensate countries who
claim—rightly or wrongly—that they have been harmed. Finally, it has been
observed how the final costs of large public projects often balloon beyond
original estimates. The final bill for SRM deployment, therefore, seems
likely to be substantially higher than the few billions dollars projected
for delivering aerosols to the atmosphere.

This does not show that Smith and Wagner are somehow wrong. (In fact,
Wagner agreed on Twitter). Instead, our point is that solar
geoengineering’s relevant costs includes more than mere deployment.

There is, though, further relevant developments in solar geoengineering and
its governance. Today, a solid news feature in Nature reports on progress
toward what might become the first explicit outdoor experiment. And on the
legal front, some parties to the Montreal Protocol on Substances that
Deplete the Ozone Layer recently drafted a decision to call for research on
possible impacts on ozone from stratospheric aerosol injection. However,
there was insufficient time at the Meeting of Parties for informed
discussion, and these countries plan on introducing the proposal next year.

If you encounter a report that solar geoengineering could either save or
destroy the world, take it with a (large) grain of salt. The truth is lies
between. It appears to be able to greatly reduce climate change, but
imperfectly so and only as a supplement to aggressive reductions of
greenhouse gas emissions. Keep an eye on MIT Technology Review (James
Temple), The Economist (Oliver Morton), and The New York Times for reliable
coverage. I’ll occasionally describe major developments here, and you can
always see my Twitter feed.

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
"geoengineering" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email 
to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com.
To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com.
Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.

Reply via email to