I did some applied work, on the same theme

https://jetpress.org/v26.1/lockley.htm

On Fri, 14 Jun 2019, 16:58 David Morrow, <[email protected]> wrote:

> It was published in Strategic Studies Quarterly. A PDF is here:
> https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/SSQ/documents/Volume-12_Issue-2/Chalecki_Ferrari.pdf
>
>
> On Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 6:02:16 PM UTC-4, Andrew Lockley wrote:
>>
>> Poster's note: overlooked at the time the time. IDK if it got published
>>
>>
>> https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2018/06/engineering-climate-or-deploying-disaster-applying-war-theory-geoengineering/
>>
>> Engineering the Climate—or Deploying Disaster? Applying Just War Theory
>> to Geoengineering
>>
>>    - Elizabeth L. Chalecki
>>
>> [image: Space_lens]
>>
>> As the national security ramifications
>> <https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2017/07/security-links-emerging-congressional-common-ground-climate-change/>
>>  of
>> climate change grow more pronounced, climate manipulation technologies,
>> known as geoengineering,
>> <https://ceassessment.org/what-is-climate-engineering/> will become more
>> attractive as a method of staving off climate-related security
>> emergencies.  However, geoengineering technologies could disrupt the global
>> ecological status quo, and could pose a potentially coercive (and very
>> serious) threat to peace. Is it possible to obtain the potential benefits
>> of these game-changing technologies, while avoiding spurring violence and
>> conflict?  In a recent article in *Strategic Studies Quarterly*
>> <http://www.airuniversity.af.mil/Portals/10/SSQ/documents/Volume-12_Issue-2/Chalecki_Ferrari.pdf>,
>> we argue that just war theory
>> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/in-theory/wp/2015/11/30/just-war-theory-a-primer/?utm_term=.4b7c2f9386e9>—which
>> defines the concepts of “right” and “wrong” in warfare—could provide
>> ethical standards for security decision-makers as they consider whether or
>> how geoengineering should be used to address the climate challenge.
>> *Geoengineering in the Global Commons*
>>
>> Geoengineering technologies fall into two distinct types, carbon dioxide
>> removal
>> <https://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration>
>>  and solar radiation management
>> <https://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth>.
>> Carbon dioxide removal includes any method of removing CO2 or other
>> heat-trapping gases from the ambient air with the intention of reducing the
>> greenhouse effect and allowing more heat to escape the atmosphere.  Solar
>> radiation management seeks to bounce sunlight away from the earth before it
>> has the chance to be absorbed and re-radiated from the surface as infrared
>> heat, becoming trapped in the atmosphere and contributing to the greenhouse
>> effect.
>>
>> Most methods can be deployed from land, and so would be subject to the
>> national laws and norms of governance in the country where they are
>> deployed.  However, three current methods—ocean iron fertilization, sulfur
>> aerosol dispersal, and marine-based cloud brightening—can be deployed from
>> the high seas or the atmosphere, which are a part of the shared global
>> commons, not national territory.  Because the environmental cause and
>> effect are separated in space and time, a sovereign state acting in these
>> arenas could unilaterally affect the entire planet’s ecology.
>>
>> Collateral damage to the environment
>> <https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2017/11/toxic-legacy-remediating-pollution-iraq/>
>>  during
>> combat is one of the most significant costs of war.  UN Environment
>> <https://www.unenvironment.org/explore-topics/disasters-conflicts>’s
>> post-conflict environmental assessments in Afghanistan
>> <https://www.unenvironment.org/explore-topics/disasters-conflicts/where-we-work/afghanistan>
>> , Iraq
>> <https://www.unenvironment.org/explore-topics/disasters-conflicts/where-we-work/iraq>
>> , Gaza
>> <https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/report/environmental-assessment-areas-disengaged-israel-gaza-strip>,
>> and Sudan
>> <https://www.unenvironment.org/explore-topics/disasters-conflicts/where-we-work/sudan>show
>> that destruction of the environment or disruption of ecosystem services
>> <https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2017/10/middle-eastern-wars-protect-civilians-protect-environmental-infrastructure/>
>>  hinders
>> the recovery of the civilian population.  Any geoengineering technology on
>> a scale large enough to shift the global climate has the potential to
>> inflict damage of the same magnitude.
>>
>> Depending upon the type of technology used, geoengineering could incur
>> the same level of cross-border environmental destruction and loss of
>> functional sovereignty as a war.  But war is waged with intent to harm; and
>> geoengineering might be deployed without that intent. However, that is a
>> distinction without a difference, if it causes involuntary environmental
>> change that affects the security and material well-being of states, just
>> like the use of violent force.
>>
>> [image: SPICE]
>> *Towards a “Just Geoengineering” Theory*
>>
>> The centuries-long intellectual and legal history
>> <https://www.iep.utm.edu/justwar/> of just war theory provides ethical
>> guidance for decision-making about the destructive forces of war.  Three
>> of its principles apply to geoengineering: competent authority,
>> proportionality, and discrimination.
>>
>>    - *Competent authority*: Only the legitimate government of a
>>    sovereign state—in conjunction with scientists, inter-governmental
>>    organizations, and other stakeholders—can justly decide to use
>>    geoengineering. Any rogue actors
>>    
>> <https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/iron-dumping-ocean-experiment-sparks-controversy/>
>>  are
>>    not legitimate.
>>    - *Proportionality:* Any hoped-for ecological and economic benefits
>>    gained by deployment of geoengineering must outweigh the ecological and
>>    economic risks. In other words, geoengineering must make the problem
>>    better, not worse.
>>    - *Discrimination:* The government cannot benefit its own people at
>>    the environmental expense of others, and collateral damage must be
>>    minimized.
>>
>> Drawing on these three principles, we can formulate a Just Geoengineering
>> Theory with two sets of guidelines: (1) on the decision to deploy—“jus ad
>> climate”—following the model of *jus ad bellum*, law governing the
>> decision to resort to force; and (2) on how the method should be
>> deployed–“jus in climate”—following the model of *jus in bello*, law
>> governing the conduct of war.
>> *Jus ad climate:*
>>
>>    - The state must be facing a major climate change-related security
>>    emergency in order to justify deploying geoengineering technologies from
>>    the global commons. The competent authority must determine a 
>> threshold—such
>>    as lost lives or economic productivity—that determines whether the
>>    emergency is “major” enough to justify the use of geoengineering.
>>    - The decision must be made first at the national level, and then
>>    subject to international consent. States do not normally submit their
>>    national security decisions to the approval of other states, but
>>    geoengineering technologies are not like other weapons due to their unique
>>    combination of global reach, potential for nonlinear effect, and
>>    implications for the fundamental livability of our planet.
>>    - The selected technology should have a reasonable chance of success,
>>    according to the best available scientific expertise. If this cannot be
>>    determined, then its use is not just, and the precautionary principle
>>    <http://sehn.org/precautionary-principle/>—avoid harm to environment
>>    or human health—must be applied.
>>    - Any geoengineering attempt must meet the double-effect criteria:
>>    only the good result is intended; the bad is not a means to the good, and
>>    the deploying state is not engaging in harm for harm’s sake.
>>
>> *Jus in climate:*
>>
>>    - The chosen method must be designed to inflict only the minimum
>>    ecological disruption necessary to offset the climate emergency. According
>>    to the just war principle of proportionality, states may use only the
>>    amount of force necessary to achieve their goal.  When applied to
>>    geoengineering, determining this minimum requires input from scientists 
>> and
>>    stakeholders.
>>    - The geoengineering method must yield greater good than harm
>>    globally (not just to the country deploying it); and do so starting with
>>    the first year of deployment. If not, it must be discontinued as
>>    ineffective or unjust.  A short time threshold to prove the technology is
>>    critical, because unjust or unworkable strategies can cause significant
>>    environmental and economic damage, on top of the climate change effects
>>    they are trying to mitigate.
>>
>> *There’s No Planet B*
>>
>> Right now, climate change-related security threats are increasing, while
>> mitigation and adaptation efforts are not keeping pace.  Eventually,
>> geoengineering will start to look like viable climate manipulation
>> measures, cloaked in national security; already the U.S. Congress is
>> considering expanding such research
>> <https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/4586?r=1402> in
>> the name of national security.  However, law and custom require states to 
>> keep
>> environmental harm from negatively affecting other states
>> <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2486421>, and
>> geoengineering deployed from the global commons offers no possibility of
>> limiting the effects to one country or region.
>>
>> So why don’t the countries of the world negotiate a new geoengineering
>> regime?  Ultimately, we must do just that, but the growing strain of
>> nationalism in the world is pointing toward fewer treaties and less
>> cooperation on global issues, and signals a retreat from the liberal
>> international order needed to develop and implement a geoengineering
>> convention.  In the absence of explicit international law, just
>> geoengineering theory can help to create a set of norms and customs to
>> guide decision-making by states and the international community.
>>
>>
>>
>> *Elizabeth L. Chalecki is an Assistant Professor of International
>> Relations at the University of Nebraska–Omaha and a Non-Resident Research
>> Fellow in Environmental Security at the Stimson Center.  Her expertise lies
>> in the areas of climate change and security, global environmental politics,
>> and the intersection of science & technology and international relations. *
>>
>> *Lisa Ferrari is Associate Professor  of Politics and Government at  the
>> University of Puget Sound, where she teaches in the areas of international
>> relations, international ethics, and U.S.-Canadian relations. *
>>
>> *Sources: Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment, Internet Encyclopedia
>> of Philosophy, Scientific American, Science & Environmental Health Network,
>> SSRN, Strategic Studies Quarterly, The National Academies of Sciences
>> Engineering Medicine, The Washington Post, UN Environment, and U.S.
>> Congress *
>>
>> *Photo Credits: Principle of a space lens, April 2008
>> <https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Space_lens.png>, courtesy
>> of Mikael Häggström; The SPICE Project, September 2011
>> <https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:SPICE_SRM_overview.jpg>, courtesy
>> of user Hughhunt. *
>>
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